Orioles vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/6/2022

by | Aug 6, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baltimore Orioles 9 Orioles vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/6/2022

The Baltimore Orioles (55-51) will put their four-game win streak to the test when they host the Pittsburgh Pirates (43-63) Saturday at 5:05 PM ET on MASN2. Bookmakers consider the Orioles -152 favorites to extend their streak, while the Pirates are +129 underdogs looking for the upset. Austin Voth gets the starting nod for Baltimore while JT Brubaker is Pittsburgh’s starter for the contest.

Orioles vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Orioles vs Pirates Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Orioles -152 +129 8.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +133 -159

Computer Predictions for Orioles vs. Pirates

After digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +129. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+129) and Over (8.5)

Orioles vs. Pirates Game Info

  • Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Austin Voth
  • Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: JT Brubaker
  • Game Day: Saturday, August 6, 2022
  • Game Time: 5:05 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MASN2
  • Location: Baltimore, Maryland
  • Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Voth Brubaker
7 GS 20
1-1 W-L 2-9
5.54 ERA 4.40
50.1 IP 104.1
16 BB 42
49 SO 105

Orioles Starter Austin Voth

  • Voth (1-1) gets the starting nod for the Orioles in his eighth start of the season. He’s put together a 5.54 ERA in 50 1/3 innings pitched, with 49 strikeouts.
  • His most recent time out was on Sunday against the Cincinnati Reds, when the righty tossed five scoreless innings while allowing four hits.
  • The 30-year-old has put together a 5.54 ERA and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings in 30 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .303 to his opponents.
  • So far this year, Voth does not have a quality start.
  • Voth has two starts this campaign in which he pitched five or more innings.
  • He will match up with a Pirates offense that ranks 29th in MLB with 768 total hits (on a .220 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .364 (28th in MLB) with 106 total home runs (17th in MLB).
  • In two innings over one appearance against the Pirates this season, Voth has a 0.00 ERA and a 0.000 WHIP while his opponents are batting .000.

Pirates Starter JT Brubaker

  • The Pirates will send Brubaker (2-9) to the mound for his 21st start this season.
  • The right-hander gave up seven earned runs in 4 1/3 innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched to a 4.40 ERA this season with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.6 walks per nine across 20 games.
  • He has started 20 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in six of them.
  • In 20 starts, Brubaker has pitched through or past the fifth inning 15 times. He has a season average of 5.1 frames per outing.
  • The Orioles have scored 447 runs this season, which ranks 19th in MLB. They are batting .236 for the campaign with 109 home runs, 16th in the league.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Orioles have been favored 13 times and won 10, or 76.9%, of those games.
  • Baltimore has played as a favorite of -152 or more twice this season and won both games.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Orioles, based on the moneyline, is 60.3%.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of their 107 games with a total this season.
  • In 107 games with a spread this season, the Orioles are 71-36-0 ATS.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Pirates have been victorious in 34, or 37.8%, of the 90 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 24-40 when favored by +129 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 43.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Pittsburgh and their opponents have hit the over in 45 of their 107 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Pirates are 57-50-0 against the spread in their 107 games that had a posted line this season.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Cedric Mullins paces the Orioles with a .263 batting average.
  • Among all batters in MLB, Mullins’ home run total places him 138th, and his RBI tally puts him 83rd.
  • Mullins carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .412 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • Anthony Santander has hit 19 home runs with 59 runs batted in. Both lead his team.
  • Including all major league hitters, Santander ranks 28th in home runs and 25th in RBI.
  • Santander has 15 games in a row with at least one hit. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .400 with four doubles, three home runs and nine RBI.
  • Austin Hays is batting .258 with 24 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 23 walks.
  • Ryan Mountcastle is hitting .255 with 22 doubles, 14 home runs and 22 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Cedric Mullins 104 .263 .324 .394 9 45 108
Anthony Santander 98 .259 .339 .458 19 59 95
Austin Hays 96 .258 .317 .429 12 47 94
Ryan Mountcastle 92 .255 .296 .432 14 52 92
Jorge Mateo 98 .214 .261 .384 10 32 69

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 16 home runs and 34 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .258.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Reynolds’ home run total ranks 41st and his RBI tally ranks 158th.
  • Reynolds has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with a double, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes is hitting .247 with 18 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 38 walks.
  • Hayes ranks 225th overall in home runs and 175th in RBI this season.
  • Ben Gamel is batting .237 with 12 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 31 walks.
  • Michael Chavis is batting .247 with 11 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 13 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Bryan Reynolds 90 .258 .340 .458 16 34 85
Ke’Bryan Hayes 97 .247 .321 .352 5 32 91
Ben Gamel 72 .237 .332 .360 4 24 54
Michael Chavis 90 .247 .284 .413 10 33 67
Oneil Cruz 38 .213 .253 .433 8 27 30

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