Orioles vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/7/2022

The Baltimore Orioles (56-51) roll into Sunday’s matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates (43-64) looking to extend a five-game winning streak. The contest starts at 1:35 PM ET with the Orioles listed as -171 favorites on the moneyline. Baltimore’s Spenser Watkins gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s Bryse Wilson.

Orioles vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Orioles vs. Pirates

After analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +145. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+145) and Over (9)

Orioles vs. Pirates Game Info

• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Spenser Watkins
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson
• Game Day: Sunday, August 7, 2022
• Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
• Location: Baltimore, Maryland
• Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Baltimore Orioles vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Orioles Starter Spenser Watkins

• The Orioles will send Watkins (4-1) to make his 15th start of the season. He is 4-1 with a 3.80 ERA and 40 strikeouts through 64 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Tuesday against the Texas Rangers, the righty tossed six innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering five hits.
• The 29-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.80, with 5.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in 14 games this season. Opponents have a .266 batting average against him.
• Watkins has three quality starts under his belt this season.
• Watkins is seeking his seventh straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.2 innings per appearance on the mound.
• He will take the hill against a Pirates offense that ranks 29th in MLB with 774 total hits (on a .220 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .364 (28th in MLB) with 107 total home runs (17th in MLB).

Pirates Starter Bryse Wilson

• The Pirates will hand the ball to Wilson (1-6) for his 12th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed six hits in 5 1/3 innings pitched against the Milwaukee Brewers on Tuesday.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 6.20 and 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .311 in 14 games this season.
• He has started 11 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in three of them.
• Wilson will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Orioles are batting .236 this season, 22nd in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .390 (15th in the league) with 109 home runs.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have been favorites in 14 games this season and won 11 (78.6%) of those contests.
• Baltimore has not been a bigger favorite this season than the -171 moneyline set for this game.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 63.1% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
• Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 50 of their 108 chances.
• The Orioles are 72-36-0 against the spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have won in 34, or 37.4%, of the 91 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This year, Pittsburgh has won 18 of 49 games when listed as at least +145 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 40.8% chance of walking away with the win.
• Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of their 108 opportunities.
• The Pirates have an against the spread record of 57-51-0 in 108 games with a line this season.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Cedric Mullins is the Orioles best hitter thus far this season, hitting at a team-leading .263 rate along with nine homers and 46 RBI.
• Mullins is 139th in homers and 79th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Mullins takes a hitting streak of five games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .381 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
• Anthony Santander has put his power on display as he paces his team with 19 home runs and 59 RBI.
• Santander ranks 28th in homers and 25th in RBI in the majors.
• Santander carries a 16-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 games he is batting .381 with five doubles, two home runs and eight RBI.
• Austin Hays is batting .258 with 24 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 23 walks.
• Ryan Mountcastle is batting .255 with 22 doubles, 14 home runs and 23 walks.
• Mountcastle is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a double, three walks and three RBI.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 16 home runs and 34 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .255.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Reynolds is 41st in home runs and 161st in RBI.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes is batting .247 with 18 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 38 walks.
• Hayes is 225th in homers and 168th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Ben Gamel has 14 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 32 walks while batting .242.
• Michael Chavis is hitting .245 with 11 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 13 walks.