Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/19/2022

The Boston Red Sox (59-60) are -109 underdogs for their matchup with the Baltimore Orioles (61-57) on Friday at 7:05 PM ET. Tommy Pham has 98 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Jordan Lyles will get the ball for Baltimore while Boston counter with Kutter Crawford.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Orioles vs. Red Sox

Our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at -109 after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (-109) and Over (8.5)

Orioles vs. Red Sox Game Info

• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford
• Game Day: Friday, August 19, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Baltimore, Maryland
• Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Orioles Starter Jordan Lyles

• Lyles aims for his 10th win when he makes the start for the Orioles, his 25th of the season. He is 9-9 with a 4.48 ERA and 114 strikeouts in 134 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent appearance on Sunday against the Tampa Bay Rays, the righty went 4 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs while surrendering five hits.
• In 24 games this season, the 31-year-old has put up a 4.48 ERA and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .279 to opposing hitters.
• Lyles has collected nine quality starts this year.
• Lyles is trying to pick up his 21st start of five or more innings this season in this matchup.
• The opposing Red Sox offense has the 11th-ranked slugging percentage (.404) and ranks 19th in MLB play with 112 home runs. It has a collective .252 batting average, and is seventh in MLB with 1029 total hits and 11th in MLB play scoring 531 runs.
• Lyles has a 3.48 ERA and a 1.935 WHIP against the Red Sox this season in 10 1/3 innings pitched, allowing a .364 batting average over two appearances.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 31-year-old’s 4.48 ERA ranks 54th, 1.448 WHIP ranks 58th, and 7.6 K/9 ranks 42nd.

Red Sox Starter Kutter Crawford

• The Red Sox’s Crawford (3-4) will make his 10th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the New York Yankees.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with an ERA of 4.18, a 2.826 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.222.
• He has started nine games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in four of them.
• Crawford has pitched five or more innings in eight straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Orioles have scored 497 runs this season, which ranks 19th in MLB. They have 941 hits, 19th in baseball, with 120 home runs (17th in the league).
• The right-hander has faced the Orioles one time this season, allowing them to go 1-for-1 with a home run and two RBI in zero innings.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Orioles have been favored 16 times and won 11, or 68.8%, of those games.
• Baltimore has entered 16 games this season favored by -110 or more and is 11-5 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Orioles, based on the moneyline, is 52.4%.
• Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 55 of their 119 chances.
• The Orioles are 78-41-0 against the spread in their 119 chances this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 58 games this year and have walked away with the win 24 times (41.4%) in those games.
• Boston has a win-loss record of 24-34 when favored by -109 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 52.2% chance of pulling out a win.
• Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 53 of their 119 opportunities.
• The Red Sox have posted a record of 61-58-0 against the spread this season.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Cedric Mullins has racked up a team-high batting average of .263.
• In all of the majors, Mullins ranks 119th in home runs and 79th in RBI.
• Mullins takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .176 with a triple, a home run, a walk and an RBI.
• Anthony Santander has hit 20 home runs with 62 runs batted in. Both lead his team.
• Santander ranks 32nd in homers in the majors, and 32nd in RBI.
• Austin Hays is hitting .252 with 26 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 24 walks.
• Ryan Mountcastle is hitting .248 with 24 doubles, 16 home runs and 28 walks.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers has posted a team-high 25 home runs and has driven in 63 runs.
• Devers’ home run total places him 15th in the big leagues, and he ranks 29th in RBI.
• Alex Verdugo is batting .280 with 30 doubles, seven home runs and 29 walks.
• Verdugo is currently 191st in home runs and 52nd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Xander Bogaerts leads the Red Sox’s lineup with a .303 batting average.
• Pham is hitting .241 with 16 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 44 walks.