Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/9/2022

The Baltimore Orioles (72-65) are -125 favorites when they meet the Boston Red Sox (67-71) on Friday at 7:05 PM ET. Jesus Aguilar has 99 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Austin Voth takes the mound for Baltimore while Brayan Bello is Boston’s starter for the contest.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Orioles vs. Red Sox

We have the Red Sox on the moneyline at +105 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+105) and Over (8.5)

Orioles vs. Red Sox Game Info

• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Austin Voth
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Brayan Bello
• Game Day: Friday, September 9, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Baltimore, Maryland
• Stadium: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Orioles Starter Austin Voth

• Voth (4-2 with a 4.41 ERA and 73 strikeouts in 81 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Orioles, his 14th of the season.
• The righty’s last appearance came on Saturday against the Oakland Athletics, when he threw 3 1/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up six hits.
• In 36 games this season, the 30-year-old has an ERA of 4.41, with 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .271 against him.
• Voth has two quality starts under his belt this year.
• Voth has pitched five or more innings in a game seven times this year entering this matchup.
• The opposing Red Sox offense has the ninth-ranked slugging percentage (.410) and is 20th in MLB play with 130 home runs. It has a collective .258 batting average, and is first in MLB with 1231 total hits and eighth in MLB action scoring 624 runs.

Red Sox Starter Brayan Bello

• The Red Sox will send Bello (1-4) to the mound for his seventh start this season.
• The right-hander did not allow a run in six innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Texas Rangers.
• The 23-year-old has pitched in eight games this season with an ERA of 5.91, a 1.812 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.813.
• He has started six games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in one of them.
• In six starts this season, Bello has lasted five or more innings two times, with an average of 4.0 innings per appearance.
• The Orioles rank 21st in MLB with a .236 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 16th in the league (.391) and 146 home runs.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Orioles have been favored 20 times and won 14, or 70%, of those games.
• Baltimore has a record of 11-4, a 73.3% win rate, when favored by -125 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The Orioles have a 55.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 61 of their 138 opportunities.
• The Orioles are 90-48-0 ATS in their 138 games with a spread this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been underdogs in 68 games this season and have come away with the win 26 times (38.2%) in those contests.
• This season, Boston has come away with a win 17 times in 49 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Boston’s games have gone over the total in 63 of their 138 opportunities.
• The Red Sox have posted a record of 70-68-0 against the spread this season.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Anthony Santander is the Orioles best power hitter, hitting 27 home runs this season in addition to accumulating 79 RBI, both team highs.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Santander is 17th in homers and 21st in RBI.
• Cedric Mullins has a club-best .260 batting average.
• Mullins is 110th in homers and 90th in RBI in the bigs.
• Ryan Mountcastle is batting .246 with 26 doubles, 21 home runs and 32 walks.
• Mountcastle is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .200 with two doubles, a walk and five RBI.
• Austin Hays is hitting .249 with 30 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 27 walks.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 25 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 73.
• Devers is 25th in home runs and 33rd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Xander Bogaerts’ .315 batting average leads his team.
• Bogaerts ranks 123rd in homers and 55th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Alex Verdugo has 34 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 35 walks while batting .284.
• Tommy Pham is hitting .248 with 19 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 50 walks.