Orioles vs. Royals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/11/2022

The Baltimore Orioles (24-35) hope to avoid an upset as -119 favorites when they take on MJ Melendez (with homers in two straight contests) and the Kansas City Royals (20-37). First pitch is at 4:10 PM ET Saturday, live from Kauffman Stadium. Tyler Wells gets the starting nod for Baltimore while Daniel Lynch is Kansas City’s starter for the contest.

Orioles vs. Royals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Orioles vs. Royals

Our computer pick: Kansas City Royals (-100) and Over (9.5)

Orioles vs. Royals Game Info

• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
• Kansas City Royals probable starting pitcher: Daniel Lynch
• Game Day: Saturday, June 11, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• Stadium: Kauffman Stadium

Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Matchup

Orioles Starter Tyler Wells

• Wells (2-4 with a 3.78 ERA and 29 strikeouts in 47 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Orioles, his 12th of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance came on Saturday against the Cleveland Guardians, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing two hits.
• In 11 games this season, the 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.78, with 5.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .239 against him.
• Wells is looking to collect his third quality start of the season.
• Wells is looking to record his sixth start of five or more innings this year in this outing.
• The opposing Royals offense has the 24th-ranked slugging percentage (.369) and is 28th in MLB play with 43 home runs. It has a collective .238 batting average, and is 18th in MLB with 460 total hits and 26th in MLB play scoring 218 runs.
• In six innings over one appearance against the Royals this season, Wells has a 1.5 ERA and a 0.833 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .217.

Royals Starter Daniel Lynch

• The Royals will send Lynch (2-5) to the mound for his 11th start this season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up six earned runs and allowed six hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays.
• The 25-year-old has pitched to a 5.36 ERA this season with 8 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.1 walks per nine across 10 games.
• He has started 10 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in one of them.
• In 10 starts this season, Lynch has lasted five or more innings seven times, with an average of 4.3 innings per appearance.
• The Orioles rank 25th in MLB with 230 runs scored this season. They have a .227 batting average this campaign with 57 home runs (16th in the league).
• The left-hander has faced the Orioles one time this season, allowing them to go 4-for-14 with a double and two RBI in 3 2/3 innings.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have won three of the four games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Baltimore has entered three games this season favored by -119 or more, and won each of those games.
• The implied probability of a win from the Orioles, based on the moneyline, is 54.3%.
• Games involving Baltimore have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 25 of 60 chances this season.
• The Orioles are 35-25-0 ATS in their 60 games with a spread this season.

Royals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Royals have been underdogs in 52 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (34.6%) in those contests.
• Kansas City has a mark of 15-31 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -100 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Kansas City’s games have gone over the total in 30 of their 60 opportunities.
• In 60 games with a line this season, the Royals have a mark of 25-35-0 against the spread.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Hays has been the Orioles top run producer this season, leading the team with 31 RBI while hitting .286 with seven home runs.
• Hays ranks 61st in homers and 40th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Anthony Santander’s 10 home runs and 31 runs batted in both pace his team.
• Santander is 33rd in homers in the majors, and 40th in RBI.
• Santander carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Trey Mancini leads the Orioles with a team-best batting average of .298.
• Cedric Mullins is batting .237 with 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 16 walks.

Royals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bobby Witt Jr. has racked up a team-leading 29 runs batted in.
• Witt Jr.’s home run total puts him 61st in the big leagues, and he ranks 55th in RBI.
• Witt Jr. has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, a triple, two walks and an RBI.
• Andrew Benintendi’s .316 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Benintendi ranks 252nd overall in home runs and 124th in RBI this season.
• Whit Merrifield is hitting .220 with 13 doubles, three home runs and 14 walks.
• Hunter Dozier has 11 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 15 walks while hitting .262.

Betting Tips for Orioles vs. Royals

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Royals on the moneyline at -100. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.