Padres vs. Brewers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/25/2022

The San Diego Padres (28-15) host the Milwaukee Brewers (27-16) Wednesday to close out a three-game series. The Padres are favored (-126) to win the rubber match, which starts at 4:10 PM ET from PETCO Park. Yu Darvish will get the ball for San Diego while Milwaukee counter with Aaron Ashby.

Padres vs. Brewers Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Brewers

Our computer pick: Milwaukee Brewers (+106) and Over (7.5)

Padres vs. Brewers Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Yu Darvish
• Milwaukee Brewers probable starting pitcher: Aaron Ashby
• Game Day: Wednesday, May 25, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Yu Darvish

• Darvish makes the start for the Padres, his ninth of the season. He is 4-1 with a 3.91 ERA and 37 strikeouts in 46 innings pitched.
• The right-hander’s most recent appearance was on Thursday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he threw seven scoreless innings while allowing six hits.
• The 35-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.91, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in eight games this season. Opposing hitters have a .234 batting average against him.
• Darvish has six quality starts under his belt this year.
• Darvish is seeking his seventh straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the mound.
• The opposing Brewers offense has the sixth-ranked slugging percentage (.408) and ranks fourth in MLB play with 57 home runs. It has a collective .236 batting average, and is 16th in MLB with 335 total hits and seventh in MLB action scoring 199 runs.
• This season, the 35-year-old ranks 36th in ERA (3.91), 27th in WHIP (1.130), and 42nd in K/9 (7.2) among qualifying pitchers.

Brewers Starter Aaron Ashby

• The Brewers will send Ashby (0-3) to the mound for his fourth start this season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance came in relief on Saturday when he threw one scoreless inning out of the bullpen against the Washington Nationals without allowing a hit.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 3.49 and 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .200 in nine games this season.
• Ashby has started three games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings one time. He averages 3.0 innings per appearance.
• The Padres rank 11th in MLB with 189 runs scored this season. They have a .233 batting average this campaign with 32 home runs (25th in the league).

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have been favorites in 28 games this season and won 19 (67.9%) of those contests.
• San Diego has a record of 15-6 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -126 on the moneyline.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 55.8% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• Games involving San Diego have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 21 of 44 chances this season.
• The Padres are 24-20-0 ATS in their 44 games with a spread this season.

Brewers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Brewers have come away with two wins in the five contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Milwaukee has a win-loss record of 2-1 when favored by +106 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 48.5% chance of pulling out a win.
• Milwaukee and their opponents have hit the over in 19 of their 43 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Brewers are 20-23-0 against the spread in their 43 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Not only does Manny Machado lead the Padres in hitting with his .368 average, he also paces the squad with eight home runs and 27 RBI.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Machado’s home run total ranks him 26th, and his RBI tally ranks him 18th.
• Eric Hosmer is batting .327 with eight doubles, four home runs and 16 walks.
• Hosmer ranks 94th in home runs and 28th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Hosmer heads into this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .250 with three walks.
• Jurickson Profar is hitting .216 with nine doubles, a triple, five home runs and 24 walks.
• Ha-Seong Kim is batting .220 with seven doubles, a triple, four home runs and 14 walks.

Brewers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rowdy Tellez has put up a team-leading nine home runs and has driven in 32 runs.
• Tellez ranks 17th in home runs and eighth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Tellez has collected a hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Christian Yelich has nine doubles, a triple, five home runs and 20 walks while hitting .244.
• Yelich is 66th in home runs and 72nd in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Kolten Wong is hitting .220 with six doubles, three triples, three home runs and 16 walks.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .242 with six doubles, three home runs and nine walks.

Betting Tips for Padres vs. Brewers

After digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Brewers on the moneyline at +106. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.