Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/20/2022

by | Jun 20, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Arizona Diamondbacks 9 Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/20/2022

The Arizona Diamondbacks (32-36) and Christian Walker (2 HR in his last game) are underdogs (+161) on the moneyline for their matchup with the San Diego Padres (41-27) on Monday at 9:40 PM ET. San Diego’s Yu Darvish and Arizona’s Zach Davies have been named the starters for this contest.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Padres vs Diamondbacks Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Padres -188 +161 7.5 +104 -125 -1.5 +112 -135

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Diamondbacks

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+161) and Over (7.5)

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Yu Darvish
  • Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Zach Davies
  • Game Day: Monday, June 20, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Darvish Davies
12 GS 13
6-3 W-L 2-3
3.35 ERA 3.78
75.1 IP 69.0
15 BB 22
61 SO 57

Padres Starter Yu Darvish

  • Darvish makes the start for the Padres, his 13th of the season. He is 6-3 with a 3.35 ERA and 61 strikeouts in 75 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s most recent appearance was on Tuesday against the Chicago Cubs, when he threw 8 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up five hits.
  • In 12 games this season, the 35-year-old has a 3.35 ERA and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .212 to opposing hitters.
  • Darvish is looking for his third quality start in a row.
  • Darvish will aim to pitch five or more innings for his 11th straight start. He’s averaging 6.1 innings per outing.
  • He will face a Diamondbacks offense that ranks 21st in the league with 279 runs while batting .217 as a unit. It has a collective .380 slugging percentage (20th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 80 home runs (ninth in MLB).
  • Darvish has thrown six innings without giving up a hit or an earned run while striking out three against the Diamondbacks this season.
  • Among pitchers who qualify in MLB play this season, the 35-year-old ranks 34th in ERA (3.35), 12th in WHIP (.969), and 49th in K/9 (7.3).

Diamondbacks Starter Zach Davies

  • Davies (2-3) will take to the mound for the Diamondbacks and make his 14th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he allowed six hits in 7 2/3 scoreless innings against the Cincinnati Reds.
  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.78 and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .237 in 13 games this season.
  • He’s going for his fourth quality start in a row.
  • Davies has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Padres are batting .244 this season, 14th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .382 (19th in the league) with 58 home runs.
  • This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Padres in one game, and they have gone 4-for-18 with a double and two RBI over five innings.
  • The 29-year-old ranks 44th in ERA (3.78), 39th in WHIP (1.203), and 47th in K/9 (7.4) among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Padres have been favored 47 times and won 28, or 59.6%, of those games.
  • San Diego has entered seven games this season favored by -188 or more and is 5-2 in those contests.
  • The Padres have a 65.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Games involving San Diego have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 31 of 69 chances this season.
  • In 69 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 36-33-0 ATS.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 60 games this season and have come away with the win 27 times (45%) in those contests.
  • This season, Arizona has come away with a win five times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +161 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 38.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Arizona and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 32 of their 73 opportunities.
  • The Diamondbacks have an against the spread mark of 42-31-0 in 73 games with a line this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Manny Machado is the bat to watch in the Padres lineup, leading the team in batting average (.328), home runs (12), and RBI (46).
  • Machado is 32nd in homers and 11th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Jurickson Profar is batting .248 with 16 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 35 walks.
  • Profar ranks 69th in homers and 36th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Profar enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .273 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
  • Jake Cronenworth is hitting .258 with 18 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 30 walks.
  • Cronenworth is on a seven-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 games he is hitting .436 with seven doubles, five walks and four RBI.
  • Eric Hosmer has 12 doubles, four home runs and 23 walks while hitting .279.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Manny Machado 66 .328 .400 .545 12 46 83
Jurickson Profar 67 .248 .339 .421 8 36 63
Jake Cronenworth 67 .258 .347 .412 6 40 67
Eric Hosmer 61 .279 .344 .384 4 29 64
Ha-Seong Kim 60 .218 .306 .350 4 23 45

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Walker paces the Diamondbacks with 18 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 35.
  • In all of the majors, Walker ranks fifth in homers and 40th in RBI.
  • Ketel Marte’s .269 batting average paces his team.
  • Marte is 184th in home runs and 151st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Daulton Varsho has 13 doubles, nine home runs and 18 walks while batting .243.
  • David Peralta is hitting .234 with 14 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 20 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Christian Walker 66 .201 .297 .483 18 35 47
Ketel Marte 61 .269 .341 .435 4 22 60
Daulton Varsho 61 .243 .308 .423 9 28 54
David Peralta 61 .234 .304 .433 8 27 47
Alek Thomas 38 .275 .333 .435 5 14 36

Betting Tips for Padres vs. Diamondbacks

After digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +161. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

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