Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/28/2022

Following a four-hit effort in a win over the Tigers, Pavin Smith leads the Arizona Diamondbacks (33-41) into action as -105 underdogs against the San Diego Padres (45-30). First pitch from Chase Field at 9:40 PM ET on Tuesday. San Diego’s Sean Manaea and Arizona’s Zac Gallen have been named the starters for this contest.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Diamondbacks

Our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at -105 after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) and Over (7.5)

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Sean Manaea
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Zac Gallen
• Game Day: Tuesday, June 28, 2022
• Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
• Location: Phoenix, Arizona
• Stadium: Chase Field

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Sean Manaea

• Manaea (3-3 with a 3.87 ERA and 82 strikeouts in 79 innings pitched) makes the start for the Padres, his 14th of the season.
• In his most recent time out on Wednesday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, the lefty tossed six innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• In 13 games this season, the 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.87, with 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .216 against him.
• Manaea is trying to record his 11th quality start of the season.
• Manaea heads into the matchup with 11 outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
• He will match up with a Diamondbacks offense that ranks 28th in MLB with 521 total hits (on a .215 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .374 (26th in MLB) with 86 total home runs (10th in MLB).
• Manaea has thrown 13 innings, giving up two earned runs on four hits while striking out 13 against the Diamondbacks this season.
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB play this season, the 30-year-old ranks 42nd in ERA (3.87), 31st in WHIP (1.152), and 17th in K/9 (9.3).

Diamondbacks Starter Zac Gallen

• The Diamondbacks will hand the ball to Gallen (4-2) for his 14th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed six innings while giving up two earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
• The 26-year-old has pitched to a 2.92 ERA this season with 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.4 walks per nine across 13 games.
• He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
• Gallen has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Padres are batting .241 this season, 15th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .379 (20th in the league) with 63 home runs.
• The Padres have gone 5-for-22 with two doubles, a home run and two RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have entered the game as favorites 53 times this season and won 31, or 58.5%, of those games.
• San Diego has a record of 27-19 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -115 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 53.5%.
• San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 34 of their 76 opportunities.
• The Padres are 39-37-0 against the spread this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have come away with 27 wins in the 63 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Arizona has a mark of 26-34 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Arizona and their opponents have gone over in 35 of their 79 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Diamondbacks have an against the spread record of 44-35-0 in 79 games with a line this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Manny Machado paces the Padres with 12 home runs and 46 runs batted in, while putting up a team-high batting average of .328.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Machado’s home run total ranks him 41st, and his RBI tally puts him 17th.
• Jurickson Profar is hitting .248 with 17 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 40 walks.
• Profar ranks 85th in home runs and 41st in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Jake Cronenworth is batting .242 with 18 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 32 walks.
• Eric Hosmer is hitting .277 with 14 doubles, six home runs and 24 walks.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker paces the Diamondbacks in home runs (19) and runs batted in (38).
• Among all hitters in MLB, Walker ranks sixth in homers and 41st in RBI.
• Ketel Marte has a club-leading .264 batting average.
• Marte ranks 201st overall in home runs and 166th in RBI this season.
• Daulton Varsho is hitting .239 with 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 19 walks.
• David Peralta has 14 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 21 walks while hitting .245.