Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/29/2022

The San Diego Padres (45-31) will be out to avoid the sweep when they visit the Arizona Diamondbacks (34-41) to complete a two-game series. Oddsmakers have listed the Padres as -139 favorites for the series finale, while the Diamondbacks are +119 underdogs. Mike Clevinger gets the starting nod for San Diego while Madison Bumgarner is Arizona’s starter for the contest.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Diamondbacks

We have the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +119 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+119) and Over (8.5)

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Mike Clevinger
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner
• Game Day: Wednesday, June 29, 2022
• Game Time: 3:40 PM ET
• Location: Phoenix, Arizona
• Stadium: Chase Field

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Mike Clevinger

• The Padres will send Clevinger (1-0) out for his sixth start of the season. He is 1-0 with a 3.52 ERA and 25 strikeouts in 23 innings pitched.
• His last appearance came on Wednesday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when the right-hander went 4 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing four hits.
• The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.52, with 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in six games this season. Opponents are batting .231 against him.
• Clevinger does not have a quality start on the season.
• Clevinger heads into this game with one outing of five or more innings pitched this season.
• He will face off against a Diamondbacks squad that is hitting .215 as a unit (29th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .373 (25th in MLB) with 86 total home runs (12th in MLB).
• Clevinger has thrown four innings, giving up one earned run on four hits while striking out three against the Diamondbacks this season.

Diamondbacks Starter Madison Bumgarner

• Bumgarner (3-7) will take to the mound for the Diamondbacks and make his 16th start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed nine hits in 4 2/3 innings pitched against the San Diego Padres on Wednesday.
• The 32-year-old has pitched to a 3.75 ERA this season with 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.8 walks per nine across 15 games.
• In 15 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in three of them.
• In 15 starts, Bumgarner has pitched through or past the fifth inning 12 times. He has a season average of 4.3 frames per outing.
• The Padres rank 15th in MLB with a .242 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 22nd in the league (.379) and 64 home runs.
• The Padres have gone 10-for-31 with a double, a triple and five RBI in two games against the left-hander this season.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have entered the game as favorites 54 times this season and won 31, or 57.4%, of those games.
• This season, San Diego has won 19 of its 32 games, or 59.4%, when favored by at least -139 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 58.2% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 35 of their 77 games with a total.
• The Padres have an ATS record of 39-38-0 in 77 games with a spread this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have come away with 28 wins in the 64 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Arizona has a mark of 15-28 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +119 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 45.7% chance of walking away with the win.
• Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 36 of their 80 opportunities.
• The Diamondbacks have an against the spread mark of 45-35-0 in 80 games with a line this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Manny Machado paces the Padres with 12 home runs and 46 runs batted in, while racking up a team-high batting average of .328.
• Including all MLB hitters, Machado ranks fourth in batting average, fifth in on-base percentage, and 10th in slugging.
• Jurickson Profar has 17 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 41 walks while hitting .248.
• Profar ranks 88th in homers in baseball, and 45th in RBI.
• Jake Cronenworth is batting .239 with 18 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 33 walks.
• Eric Hosmer is hitting .276 with 14 doubles, six home runs and 24 walks.
• Hosmer is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .300 with two doubles, a home run and two RBI.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker leads the Diamondbacks with 19 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 39.
• Walker’s home run total places him eighth in MLB, and he ranks 38th in RBI.
• Ketel Marte’s .269 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Marte is 205th in home runs and 169th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Daulton Varsho is batting .235 with 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 19 walks.
• David Peralta has 14 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 21 walks while hitting .243.