Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/15/2022

The San Diego Padres (50-41) are -187 favorites to break their three-game losing streak when they face the Arizona Diamondbacks (39-50), losers of two in a row. The game begins Friday at 9:40 PM ET, live from PETCO Park. Yu Darvish will get the ball for San Diego while Arizona counter with Madison Bumgarner.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Diamondbacks

After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +159. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+159) and Over (7.5)

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Yu Darvish
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner
• Game Day: Friday, July 15, 2022
• Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Yu Darvish

• Darvish makes the start for the Padres, his 17th of the season. He is 7-4 with a 3.38 ERA and 91 strikeouts in 101 1/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander last appeared on Saturday against the San Francisco Giants, when he threw 7 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up three hits.
• The 35-year-old has an ERA of 3.38, with 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 16 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .215 batting average against him.
• Darvish heads into this matchup with 12 quality starts under his belt this season.
• Darvish will try to last five or more innings for his 15th straight start. He’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing.
• He will face off against a Diamondbacks offense that ranks 28th in MLB with 649 total hits (on a .222 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .381 (20th in MLB) with 101 total home runs (12th in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Diamondbacks this season, Darvish has thrown 13 innings, giving up one earned run on four hits while striking out eight.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 35-year-old ranks 31st in ERA (3.38), 11th in WHIP (.987), and 34th in K/9 (8.1).

Diamondbacks Starter Madison Bumgarner

• Bumgarner (5-8) will take the mound for the Diamondbacks, his 19th start of the season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in 7 2/3 innings against the Colorado Rockies.
• The 32-year-old has an ERA of 3.65, a 2.276 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.347 in 18 games this season.
• In 18 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in four of them.
• Bumgarner has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Padres are batting .241 this season, 16th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .374 (27th in the league) with 75 home runs.
• The left-hander has faced the Padres three times this season, allowing them to go 14-for-50 with two doubles, a triple and six RBI in 12 innings.
• Among qualified pitchers this season, the 32-year-old’s 3.65 ERA ranks 36th, 1.347 WHIP ranks 50th, and 6.5 K/9 ranks 54th.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have entered the game as favorites 64 times this season and won 35, or 54.7%, of those games.
• San Diego has a record of 7-2, a 77.8% win rate, when favored by -187 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.2% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 42 of their 92 opportunities.
• The Padres are 42-50-0 against the spread this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have won in 32, or 43.2%, of the 74 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Arizona has a win-loss record of 7-14 when favored by +159 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 38.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Contests with Arizona have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 43 of 94 chances this season.
• The Diamondbacks have an against the spread mark of 52-42-0 in 94 games with a line this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Not only does Manny Machado lead the Padres in hitting with his .307 average, he also is their foremost power hitter with 15 home runs and 51 RBI.
• Including all MLB hitters, Machado is 11th in batting average, 14th in on-base percentage, and 16th in slugging.
• Machado has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Jake Cronenworth is batting .243 with 22 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 40 walks.
• Cronenworth is 102nd in home runs and 32nd in RBI on the season.
• Cronenworth has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .353 with a double, two home runs, four walks and five RBI.
• Eric Hosmer is batting .270 with 14 doubles, six home runs and 28 walks.
• Ha-Seong Kim has 16 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 33 walks while hitting .240.
• Kim brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .286 with three doubles, three walks and three RBI.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker has racked up a team-high 21 home runs.
• Walker is 10th in home runs and 57th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Ketel Marte is hitting .269 to lead the lineup.
• Marte ranks 146th among all hitters in the majors in homers, and 154th in RBI.
• Daulton Varsho has a team-high 45 runs batted in.
• Josh Rojas has 13 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 22 walks while batting .281.