Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/16/2022

The San Diego Padres (51-41) hope to avoid an upset as -188 favorites when they take on Ketel Marte (with homers in two straight contests) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (39-51). First pitch is at 8:40 PM ET Saturday, live from PETCO Park. Sean Manaea takes the mound for San Diego while Tyler Gilbert is Arizona’s starter for the contest.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Diamondbacks

We have the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +160 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+160) and Over (8)

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Sean Manaea
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Tyler Gilbert
• Game Day: Saturday, July 16, 2022
• Game Time: 8:40 PM ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Sean Manaea

• The Padres will send Manaea (4-4) out for his 17th start of the season. He is 4-4 with a 4.09 ERA and 97 strikeouts in 94 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent appearance on Tuesday against the Colorado Rockies, the left-hander went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
• The 30-year-old has an ERA of 4.09, with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 16 games this season. Opponents are batting .224 against him.
• Manaea is looking to secure his 13th quality start of the year.
• Manaea is trying to collect his 14th start of five or more innings this year in this game.
• He will face off against a Diamondbacks offense that is hitting .221 as a unit (28th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .381 (19th in MLB) with 103 total home runs (12th in MLB).
• Manaea has a 2.37 ERA and a 0.737 WHIP against the Diamondbacks this season in 19 innings pitched, allowing a .113 batting average over three appearances.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 30-year-old’s 4.09 ERA ranks 47th, 1.215 WHIP ranks 37th, and 9.2 K/9 ranks 18th.

Diamondbacks Starter Tyler Gilbert

• The Diamondbacks will send Gilbert (0-3) to the mound for his sixth start this season.
• The left-hander allowed three hits in 5 2/3 scoreless innings pitched against the Colorado Rockies on Sunday.
• The 28-year-old has an ERA of 5.33 and 6.0 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .250 in six games this season.
• None of Gilbert’s five starts this season have met the criteria for a quality start.
• In five starts this season, Gilbert has lasted five or more innings three times, with an average of 4.1 innings per appearance.
• The Padres rank 16th in MLB with a .241 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 27th in the league (.373) and 75 home runs.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have entered the game as favorites 65 times this season and won 36, or 55.4%, of those games.
• San Diego has a record of 6-2 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -188 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 65.3% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 43 of their 93 games with a total.
• In 93 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 43-50-0 ATS.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have won in 32, or 42.7%, of the 75 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Arizona has a win-loss record of 6-14 when favored by +160 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 38.5% chance of pulling out a win.
• Arizona and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 44 of their 95 opportunities.
• The Diamondbacks are 52-43-0 against the spread in their 95 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Manny Machado leads the Padres in home runs (15), runs batted in (51) and has put up a team-high batting average of .306.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Machado ranks 35th in home runs and 25th in RBI.
• Machado brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .273 with a home run, a walk and an RBI.
• Jurickson Profar is hitting .240 with 20 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 48 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Profar is 124th in homers and 81st in RBI.
• Jake Cronenworth is batting .241 with 22 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 41 walks.
• Eric Hosmer has 14 doubles, six home runs and 29 walks while batting .267.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker paces the Diamondbacks with 22 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 45.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Walker ranks ninth in home runs and 51st in RBI.
• Marte is batting .276 to lead the lineup.
• Marte ranks 124th in home runs and 152nd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Daulton Varsho has put up a team-best 45 runs batted in.
• David Peralta is hitting .236 with 16 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 24 walks.