Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/17/2022

The Arizona Diamondbacks (39-52) will try to end their four-game losing streak when they visit the San Diego Padres (52-41) on Sunday at 4:10 PM ET. Sportsbooks consider the Padres to be -158 favorites for the contest, while the Diamondbacks are +136 underdogs looking for the upset. San Diego’s Mike Clevinger gets the start, and he’ll go against Arizona’s Merrill Kelly.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Diamondbacks

Our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +136 after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+136) and Over (7.5)

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Mike Clevinger
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly
• Game Day: Sunday, July 17, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Mike Clevinger

• Clevinger makes the start for the Padres, his ninth of the season. He is 2-2 with a 3.79 ERA and 40 strikeouts in 40 1/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent appearance came on Wednesday against the Colorado Rockies, when the right-hander threw 5 1/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing five hits.
• The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.79, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in nine games this season. Opponents have a .214 batting average against him.
• Clevinger has one quality start under his belt this year.
• Clevinger is aiming for his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.1 frames per appearance on the hill.
• The opposing Diamondbacks offense has a collective .222 batting average, and is 28th in the league with 665 total hits and 22nd in MLB play with 380 runs scored. It has the 19th-ranked slugging percentage (.383) and ranks 12th in home runs (104) in all of MLB.
• Clevinger has pitched 10 innings, giving up one earned run on five hits while striking out nine against the Diamondbacks this season.

Diamondbacks Starter Merrill Kelly

• The Diamondbacks’ Kelly (8-5) will make his 19th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 7 2/3 innings against the San Francisco Giants, giving up two earned runs while allowing five hits.
• The 33-year-old has an ERA of 3.36, a 2.333 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.217 in 18 games this season.
• If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his fourth quality start in a row.
• Kelly will look to pitch five or more innings for the 11th start in a row.
• The Padres have scored 407 runs this season, which ranks 13th in MLB. They are batting .241 for the campaign with 76 home runs, 25th in the league.
• The Padres have gone 4-for-15 in four innings this season against the right-hander.
• Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 33-year-old’s 3.36 ERA ranks 31st, 1.217 WHIP ranks 38th, and 7.2 K/9 ranks 48th.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have been favorites in 66 games this season and won 37 (56.1%) of those contests.
• San Diego has a record of 20-9 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -158 on the moneyline.
• The Padres have a 61.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Games involving San Diego have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 43 of 94 chances this season.
• In 94 games with a spread this season, the Padres are 43-51-0 ATS.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 32, or 42.1%, of the 76 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Arizona has been victorious 15 times in 39 chances when named as an underdog of at least +136 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 42.4% chance of walking away with the win.
• Contests with Arizona have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 44 of 96 chances this season.
• The Diamondbacks are 53-43-0 against the spread in their 96 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Not only does Manny Machado lead the Padres in hitting with his .306 average, he also is their premier power option with 15 home runs and 51 RBI.
• Of all batters in MLB, Machado ranks 35th in homers and 25th in RBI.
• Machado has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .250 with two walks.
• Jurickson Profar is hitting .241 with 20 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 48 walks.
• Profar is 126th in homers and 81st in RBI on the season.
• Jake Cronenworth is batting .241 with 23 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 41 walks.
• Ha-Seong Kim has 16 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 33 walks while batting .244.
• Kim brings a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with three doubles, two walks and four RBI.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker leads the Diamondbacks in home runs (22) and runs batted in (45).
• Among all batters in the big leagues, Walker ranks ninth in homers and 53rd in RBI.
• Walker takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .188 with a home run, four walks and two RBI.
• Ketel Marte has a club-high .272 batting average.
• Marte is 126th in home runs and 155th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Daulton Varsho paces the Diamondbacks with 45 runs batted in.
• David Peralta is batting .235 with 16 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 24 walks.