Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/5/2022

Daulton Varsho leads the Arizona Diamondbacks (64-69) into Monday’s matchup with the San Diego Padres (74-61) on a two-game homer streak. His Diamondbacks are underdogs for the contest, however, with sportsbooks naming the Padres as -225 moneyline favorites. The game starts at 6:40 PM ET from PETCO Park. Blake Snell will get the ball for San Diego while Arizona counter with Ryne Nelson.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Diamondbacks

After looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +185. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+185) and Over (8)

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Blake Snell
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson
• Game Day: Monday, September 5, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Blake Snell

• Snell gets the start for the Padres, his 20th of the season. He is 6-7 with a 3.97 ERA and 124 strikeouts in 93 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Wednesday, the lefty tossed six scoreless innings against the San Francisco Giants while surrendering four hits.
• In 18 games this season, the 29-year-old has a 3.97 ERA and 12.0 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .236 to opposing batters.
• Snell is looking to pick up his eighth quality start of the year.
• Snell is trying to secure his 14th start of five or more innings this season in this matchup.
• He will face a Diamondbacks offense that ranks 25th in MLB with 1017 total hits (on a .232 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .389 (15th in MLB) with 144 total home runs (14th in MLB).

Diamondbacks Starter Ryne Nelson

• Nelson has been named the starter for the Diamondbacks and will make his first start this season.
• This will be the first MLB start for the 24-year-old right-hander.
• The Padres rank 16th in MLB with a .241 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 23rd in the league (.380) and 123 home runs.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have won 55, or 56.1%, of the 98 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• San Diego has a record of 8-5 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -225 on the moneyline.
• The Padres have a 69.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 65 of their 136 games with a total.
• The Padres are 58-78-0 against the spread in their 136 chances this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 102 games this year and have walked away with the win 45 times (44.1%) in those games.
• This year, Arizona has won one of 11 games when listed as at least +185 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 35.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Arizona and their opponents have hit the over in 65 of their 138 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Diamondbacks are 80-58-0 against the spread in their 138 games that had a posted line this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Manny Machado’s 26 home runs and 88 RBI both lead the Padres, on top of his team-high .305 average.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Machado’s home run total ranks him 18th, and his RBI tally ranks him seventh.
• Machado has collected a hit in nine straight games. During his last 10 games he is batting .357 with three doubles, four home runs, two walks and 12 RBI.
• Juan Soto is hitting .248 with 20 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 117 walks.
• Soto is 27th in home runs and 89th in RBI on the year.
• Josh Bell is batting .275 with 28 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 68 walks.
• Brandon Drury has 26 doubles, two triples, 25 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .262.
• Drury takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with a double, two home runs and five RBI.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker has a team-high 31 home runs and has driven in 75 runs.
• Among all batters in MLB, Walker is seventh in homers and 26th in RBI.
• Varsho has 20 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 41 walks while batting .240.
• Varsho ranks 46th among all batters in MLB in homers, and 60th in RBI.
• Ketel Marte is hitting .249 with 36 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 48 walks.
• Josh Rojas leads the Diamondbacks with a team-high batting average of .276.