Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/7/2022

The San Diego Padres (75-62) host the Arizona Diamondbacks (65-70) Wednesday to close out a three-game series. The Padres are favored (-212) to win the rubber match, which starts at 8:40 PM ET from PETCO Park. San Diego’s Yu Darvish gets the start, and he’ll go against Arizona’s Tommy Henry.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Diamondbacks

After analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +178. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+178) and Over (8)

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Yu Darvish
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Tommy Henry
• Game Day: Wednesday, September 7, 2022
• Game Time: 8:40 PM ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Yu Darvish

• Darvish (12-7 with a 3.26 ERA and 162 strikeouts in 162 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Padres, his 26th of the season.
• In his last time out on Saturday, the right-hander threw seven scoreless innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers while surrendering two hits.
• In 25 games this season, the 36-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.26, with 9 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .211 against him.
• Darvish is trying to prolong a third-game quality start streak in this matchup.
• Darvish is seeking his 24th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.2 frames per appearance on the mound.
• The opposing Diamondbacks offense has the 16th-ranked slugging percentage (.391) and is 14th in MLB play with 148 home runs. It has a collective .232 batting average, and is 26th in MLB with 1034 total hits and 15th in MLB play scoring 600 runs.
• Darvish has pitched 20 innings, giving up four earned runs on nine hits while striking out 17 against the Diamondbacks this season.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 36-year-old’s 3.26 ERA ranks 26th, .971 WHIP ranks seventh, and 9 K/9 ranks 15th.

Diamondbacks Starter Tommy Henry

• Henry (3-3) will take to the mound for the Diamondbacks and make his seventh start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up seven earned runs in four innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
• The 25-year-old has pitched in six games this season with an ERA of 4.83, a 1.438 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.453.
• He has one quality starts in six chances this season.
• Henry has five starts of five or more innings this season in six chances. He averages 5.1 innings per outing.
• The Padres have scored 603 runs this season, which ranks 12th in MLB. They have 1110 hits, 15th in baseball, with 126 home runs (21st in the league).

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Padres have won 56 out of the 100 games, or 56%, in which they’ve been favored.
• San Diego is 11-7 this season when entering a game favored by -212 or more on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 67.9% chance to win.
• So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 66 of their 138 games with a total.
• The Padres are 58-80-0 against the spread this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 104 games this year and have walked away with the win 46 times (44.2%) in those games.
• Arizona has a win-loss record of 3-11 when favored by +178 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 36% chance of walking away with the win.
• Contests with Arizona have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 66 of 140 chances this season.
• The Diamondbacks have posted a record of 82-58-0 against the spread this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Manny Machado is the bat to watch in the Padres lineup, leading the team in batting average (.300), home runs (26), and RBI (88).
• Of all hitters in baseball, Machado ranks 19th in homers and 10th in RBI.
• Juan Soto has 20 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 117 walks while hitting .243.
• Soto ranks 28th in home runs in the majors, and 94th in RBI.
• Josh Bell is hitting .276 with 28 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 70 walks.
• Bell has at least one base hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a home run, three walks and an RBI.
• Jurickson Profar is hitting .243 with 32 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 68 walks.
• Profar has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and five RBI.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker paces the Diamondbacks in home runs (32) and runs batted in (78).
• In all of the majors, Walker ranks sixth in homers and 24th in RBI.
• Walker carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
• Daulton Varsho is hitting .241 with 20 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 41 walks.
• Varsho ranks 39th in homers and 61st in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Ketel Marte is batting .244 with 36 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 48 walks.
• Josh Rojas leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .275.