Padres vs. Giants Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/7/2022

Seeking their 48th win of the year, the San Diego Padres (47-36) are favorites (-134) on the moneyline when they take on the San Francisco Giants (41-39) Thursday at 9:40 PM ET. Joe Musgrove gets the starting nod for San Diego while Logan Webb is San Francisco’s starter for the contest.

Padres vs. Giants Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Giants

After digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Giants on the moneyline at +113. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 6.5 runs.

Our computer pick: San Francisco Giants (+113) and Over (6.5)

Padres vs. Giants Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove
• San Francisco Giants probable starting pitcher: Logan Webb
• Game Day: Thursday, July 7, 2022
• Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Joe Musgrove

• Musgrove (8-2) takes the mound for the Padres in his 15th start of the season. He’s put together a 2.25 ERA in 92 innings pitched, with 92 strikeouts.
• In his most recent appearance on Friday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, the righty tossed 7 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
• In 14 games this season, the 29-year-old has amassed a 2.25 ERA and 9 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .203 to his opponents.
• Musgrove is trying to record his 14th quality start of the season in this matchup.
• Musgrove will try to go five or more innings for his 15th straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.2 innings per outing.
• He will face a Giants team that is hitting .236 as a unit (22nd in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .394 (15th in MLB) with 93 total home runs (12th in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Giants this season, Musgrove has pitched seven innings without giving up an earned run on four hits, while striking out four.
• This season, the 29-year-old ranks sixth in ERA (2.25), seventh in WHIP (.946), and 24th in K/9 (9) among qualifying pitchers.

Giants Starter Logan Webb

• The Giants will hand the ball to Webb (7-3) for his 17th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Chicago White Sox.
• The 25-year-old has pitched to a 3.13 ERA this season with 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.1 walks per nine across 16 games.
• He’s going for his fifth quality start in a row.
• Webb has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Padres have scored 369 runs this season, which ranks 12th in MLB. They have 677 hits, 13th in baseball, with 68 home runs (25th in the league).
• The Padres have gone 4-for-28 with two doubles, a triple and an RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.
• Among qualified pitchers this season, the 25-year-old’s 3.13 ERA ranks 26th, 1.126 WHIP ranks 27th, and 7.9 K/9 ranks 40th.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Padres have been favored 57 times and won 32, or 56.1%, of those games.
• San Diego has a record of 22-17, a 56.4% win rate, when favored by -134 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 57.3% chance to win.
• San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 38 of their 84 opportunities.
• The Padres are 41-43-0 ATS in their 84 games with a spread this season.

Giants Betting Picks & Insights

• The Giants have been chosen as underdogs in 19 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (36.8%) in those games.
• This year, San Francisco has won six of 12 games when listed as at least +113 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Giants have a 46.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• San Francisco and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 39 of their 81 opportunities.
• The Giants have posted a record of 38-42-0 against the spread this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Manny Machado is the bat to watch in the Padres lineup, leading the team in batting average (.316), home runs (12), and RBI (46).
• Machado’s home runs put him 53rd in the majors, and he ranks 26th in RBI.
• Jurickson Profar is hitting .244 with 20 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 46 walks.
• Profar is 107th in home runs and 64th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Jake Cronenworth has 20 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 36 walks while hitting .240.
• Eric Hosmer is batting .269 with 14 doubles, six home runs and 24 walks.

Giants Leaders & Batting Stats

• Wilmer Flores has racked up a team-leading 41 runs batted in.
• Flores ranks 90th in home runs and 50th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Flores carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a double, four walks and an RBI.
• Joc Pederson been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 17 home runs and 41 runs batted in.
• Among all major league hitters, Pederson is 16th in homers and 50th in RBI.
• Mike Yastrzemski is batting .231 with 17 doubles, eight home runs and 35 walks.
• Darin Ruf has nine doubles, seven home runs and 34 walks while batting .226.