Padres vs. Giants Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/31/2022

by | Aug 31, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Padres vs. Giants Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/31/2022

Entering Wednesday’s matchup with the San Diego Padres (72-59), the San Francisco Giants (61-67) are on a six-game losing streak. The contest starts at 3:45 PM ET with the Padres listed as -141 favorites, while the are +119 underdogs who may be heading for a seventh straight defeat. San Diego’s Joe Musgrove gets the start, and he’ll go against San Francisco’s Alex Wood.

Padres vs. Giants Spread and Betting Line

Padres vs Giants Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Padres -141 +119 7.5 -117 -103 -1.5 +126 -150

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Giants

We have the Giants on the moneyline at +119 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: San Francisco Giants (+119) and Over (7.5)

Padres vs. Giants Game Info

  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove
  • San Francisco Giants probable starting pitcher: Alex Wood
  • Game Day: Wednesday, August 31, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:45 PM ET
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Stadium: Oracle Park

San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Pitching Matchup

Musgrove Wood
23 GS 25
8-6 W-L 8-11
2.96 ERA 5.00
142.2 IP 126.0
29 BB 29
138 SO 126

Padres Starter Joe Musgrove

  • Musgrove (8-6) gets the starting nod for the Padres in his 24th start of the season. He has a 2.96 ERA in 142 2/3 innings pitched, with 138 strikeouts.
  • The righty’s most recent appearance was on Saturday against the Kansas City Royals, when he threw 3 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • The 29-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.96, with 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 23 games this season. Opponents have a .227 batting average against him.
  • Musgrove is trying to record his 19th quality start of the year.
  • Musgrove is looking to collect his 22nd start of five or more innings this season in this matchup.
  • The opposing Giants offense has a collective .233 batting average, and is 23rd in the league with 991 total hits and 16th in MLB action with 564 runs scored. It has the 15th-ranked slugging percentage (.389) and ranks 13th in home runs (144) in all of MLB.
  • Musgrove has a 0.43 ERA and a 0.857 WHIP against the Giants this season in 21 innings pitched, allowing a .155 batting average over three appearances.
  • The 29-year-old’s 2.96 ERA ranks 14th, 1.051 WHIP ranks 18th, and 8.7 K/9 ranks 21st among qualifying pitchers this season.

Giants Starter Alex Wood

  • Wood (8-11) will take the mound for the Giants, his 26th start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed three innings while giving up eight earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Minnesota Twins.
  • The 31-year-old has pitched to a 5.00 ERA this season with 9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.1 walks per nine across 25 games.
  • He has started 25 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in six of them.
  • Wood has made 17 starts of five or more innings in 25 chances this season, and averages 5.0 frames when he pitches.
  • The Padres rank 16th in MLB with a .242 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 22nd in the league (.382) and 119 home runs.
  • The Padres have gone 19-for-80 with two doubles, a home run and seven RBI in 20 2/3 innings this season against the left-hander.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Padres have been favorites in 97 games this season and won 54 (55.7%) of those contests.
  • San Diego has a record of 39-29, a 57.4% win rate, when favored by -141 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The Padres have a 58.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 61 of their 132 opportunities.
  • The Padres have an ATS record of 57-75-0 in 132 games with a spread this season.

Giants Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Giants have been victorious in 10, or 25%, of the 40 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, San Francisco has been victorious seven times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +119 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Giants have a 45.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with San Francisco have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 61 of 129 chances this season.
  • The Giants are 56-72-0 against the spread in their 128 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Juan Soto has gone yard 24 times this season, the highest mark on the Padres, while hitting .250 with 52 RBI.
  • Soto’s home runs place him 22nd in the majors, and he is 85th in RBI.
  • Manny Machado has shown off his power as he leads his team with 24 home runs and 82 RBI, with a team-high .304 batting average.
  • Machado ranks 22nd in home runs and 11th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Machado has five games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .435 with two doubles, two home runs, a walk and six RBI.
  • Josh Bell has 28 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 67 walks while hitting .281.
  • Bell has at least one base hit in six straight games. During his last 10 games he is batting .313 with two doubles, two home runs, eight walks and seven RBI.
  • Brandon Drury has hit 24 home runs to lead his team.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Juan Soto 123 .250 .411 .479 24 52 105
Manny Machado 120 .304 .373 .534 24 82 141
Josh Bell 128 .281 .373 .458 16 66 130
Brandon Drury 117 .259 .315 .486 24 77 115
Jurickson Profar 123 .241 .339 .389 12 48 112

Giants Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Wilmer Flores has driven in the most runs for the Giants with 60 runs batted in.
  • Flores’ home run total puts him 64th in the big leagues, and he ranks 56th in RBI.
  • Thairo Estrada has a club-leading .260 batting average.
  • Estrada is 135th in homers and 94th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Joc Pederson leads the Giants with 20 long balls.
  • Mike Yastrzemski is hitting .205 with 22 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 51 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Wilmer Flores 121 .248 .331 .427 16 60 104
Thairo Estrada 110 .260 .315 .406 11 50 100
Joc Pederson 106 .262 .337 .515 20 52 80
Mike Yastrzemski 116 .205 .305 .364 12 44 77
Brandon Crawford 92 .226 .307 .346 7 41 72

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