Padres vs. Guardians Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/23/2022

The San Diego Padres (68-56) host the Cleveland Guardians (64-56) at 9:40 PM ET Tuesday in a meeting between two of the league’s best hitters. Manny Machado is batting .302 this year (ninth in the league) for the favored Padres (-165), while Andres Gimenez ranks sixth in the majors with a .309 average for the underdog Guardians. Mike Clevinger will get the ball for San Diego while Cleveland counter with Aaron Civale.

Padres vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Guardians

Our best bet is the Guardians on the moneyline at +140 after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (+140) and Over (8)

Padres vs. Guardians Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Mike Clevinger
• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Aaron Civale
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 23, 2022
• Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Mike Clevinger

• Clevinger gets the start for the Padres, his 15th of the season. He is 4-4 with a 3.63 ERA and 66 strikeouts in 74 1/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent time out came on Wednesday against the Miami Marlins, when the righty tossed 4 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up six hits.
• In 15 games this season, the 31-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.63, with 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .230 against him.
• Clevinger is looking to pick up his fifth quality start of the year in this game.
• Clevinger has pitched five or more innings in a game eight times this season heading into this matchup.
• The opposing Guardians offense has the 17th-ranked slugging percentage (.385) and is 29th in MLB play with 94 home runs. It has a collective .252 batting average, and is 10th in MLB with 1033 total hits and 16th in MLB action scoring 521 runs.
• Clevinger has thrown 4 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on four hits while striking out four against the Guardians this season.

Guardians Starter Aaron Civale

• Civale (2-5) will take to the mound for the Guardians and make his 15th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in six innings pitched against the Detroit Tigers on Monday.
• The 27-year-old has pitched to a 5.63 ERA this season with 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.3 walks per nine across 14 games.
• He has earned a quality start three times in 14 starts this season.
• In 14 starts, Civale has pitched through or past the fifth inning six times. He has a season average of 4.2 frames per outing.
• The Padres are batting .241 this season, 16th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .379 (21st in the league) with 110 home runs.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Padres have been favored 91 times and won 51, or 56%, of those games.
• San Diego is 28-13 this season when entering a game favored by -165 or more on the moneyline.
• The Padres have a 62.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of their 125 opportunities.
• The Padres are 55-70-0 against the spread this season.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 67 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (46.3%) in those games.
• Cleveland has a mark of 7-15 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +140 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 41.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 58 of their 127 opportunities.
• The Guardians have an against the spread record of 68-59-0 in 127 games with a line this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Juan Soto has left the yard 23 times this season, the highest mark on the Padres, while hitting .252 with 50 RBI.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Soto ranks 23rd in home runs and 82nd in RBI.
• Machado has a club-leading 76 RBI and .302 batting average.
• Machado ranks 27th in homers in the majors, and 13th in RBI.
• Josh Bell is batting .277 with 26 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 60 walks.
• Bell is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .176 with a double, two home runs, two walks and three RBI.
• Brandon Drury has put his power on display as he paces his team with 23 home runs.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez has managed a team-leading 23 home runs and has driven in 99 runs.
• Ramirez’s home run total puts him 23rd in the majors, and he is fourth in RBI.
• Amed Rosario is hitting .284 with 21 doubles, seven triples, eight home runs and 22 walks.
• Rosario is 169th in home runs and 77th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Steven Kwan is batting .301 with 19 doubles, five triples, three home runs and 43 walks.
• Gimenez paces the Guardians with a .309 batting average.