Padres vs. Mariners Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/4/2022

by | Jul 4, 2022

The Seattle Mariners (39-42) enter Monday’s matchup with the San Diego Padres (47-34) following their 3-1 series victory over the Athletics. The Padres, coming off of a series loss against the Dodgers, are listed as -179 favorites for Game 1. The series begins at PETCO Park, starting at 6:40 PM ET. Sean Manaea takes the mound for San Diego while Chris Flexen is Seattle’s starter for the contest.

Padres vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Padres vs Mariners Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Padres -179 +153 8 -108 -112 -1.5 +122 -146

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Mariners

After taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at +153. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (+153) and Under (8)

Padres vs. Mariners Game Info

  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Sean Manaea
  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Chris Flexen
  • Game Day: Monday, July 4, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Manaea Flexen
14 GS 15
3-3 W-L 4-8
3.92 ERA 4.32
85.0 IP 83.1
31 BB 29
89 SO 58

Padres Starter Sean Manaea

  • The Padres are sending Manaea (3-3) to the mound for his 15th start of the season. He is 3-3 with a 3.92 ERA and 89 strikeouts in 85 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Wednesday, the lefty threw 6 2/3 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, giving up three earned runs while surrendering three hits.
  • In 14 games this season, the 30-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.92, with 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .212 against him.
  • Manaea is trying to continue a second-game quality start streak in this game.
  • Manaea will try to pitch five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 6.0 frames per outing.
  • He will take the hill against a Mariners offense that is hitting .233 as a unit (24th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .381 (18th in MLB) with 84 total home runs (16th in MLB).
  • Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 30-year-old ranks 44th in ERA (3.92), 29th in WHIP (1.141), and 16th in K/9 (9.4).

Mariners Starter Chris Flexen

  • The Mariners will hand the ball to Flexen (4-8) for his 16th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in 6 2/3 innings pitched against the Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday.
  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.32, a 2 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.428 in 15 games this season.
  • He has earned a quality start six times in 15 starts this season.
  • Flexen will look to pitch five or more innings for the eighth start in a row.
  • The Padres rank 15th in MLB with a .241 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 24th in the league (.377) and 67 home runs.
  • The 28-year-old ranks 53rd in ERA (4.32), 58th in WHIP (1.428), and 58th in K/9 (6.3) among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Padres have been favorites in 55 games this season and won 32 (58.2%) of those contests.
  • San Diego has a record of 9-3 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -179 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 64.2%.
  • So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 36 of their 82 games with a total.
  • The Padres are 41-41-0 ATS in their 82 games with a spread this season.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have been chosen as underdogs in 48 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (37.5%) in those games.
  • Seattle has a win-loss record of 3-2 when favored by +153 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 39.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 37 of their 81 opportunities.
  • The Mariners have posted a record of 41-40-0 against the spread this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Manny Machado’s 12 home runs and 46 RBI both lead the Padres, on top of his team-high .320 average.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Machado’s home run total places him 49th, and his RBI tally ranks him 24th.
  • Jurickson Profar is batting .247 with 20 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 45 walks.
  • Profar ranks 99th in home runs and 57th in RBI on the season.
  • Jake Cronenworth is batting .242 with 20 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 34 walks.
  • Eric Hosmer has 14 doubles, six home runs and 24 walks while hitting .273.
Manny Machado 70 .320 .391 .530 12 46 85
Jurickson Profar 80 .247 .349 .407 8 38 74
Jake Cronenworth 79 .242 .334 .389 7 43 74
Eric Hosmer 72 .273 .331 .391 6 33 74
Ha-Seong Kim 73 .229 .317 .357 5 28 57

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners with 14 long balls.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Rodriguez is 35th in homers and 42nd in RBI.
  • Rodriguez has collected a hit in seven games in a row. In his last 10 games he is hitting .343 with two doubles, a triple, five home runs, three walks and eight RBI.
  • J.P. Crawford is batting .261 with 15 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 30 walks.
  • Among all major league batters, Crawford is 177th in homers and 189th in RBI.
  • Jesse Winker has 13 doubles, six home runs and 49 walks while batting .226.
  • Eugenio Suarez is hitting .240 with 17 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 38 walks.
Julio Rodríguez 80 .280 .340 .487 14 41 84
J.P. Crawford 72 .261 .343 .381 5 21 70
Jesse Winker 79 .226 .341 .337 6 33 63
Eugenio Suárez 80 .240 .332 .436 13 38 71
Adam Frazier 80 .218 .287 .290 2 21 64

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