Padres vs. Mariners Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/5/2022

The Seattle Mariners (40-42) are +109 moneyline underdogs Tuesday despite their plans to send Logan Gilbert to the mound to face the San Diego Padres (47-35). Gilbert will be seeking win No. 10 win against the odds, with first pitch slated for 4:10 PM ET. San Diego’s Mike Clevinger and Seattle’s Gilbert have been named the starters for this contest.

Padres vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Mariners

After looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at +109. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (+109) and Over (7)

Padres vs. Mariners Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Mike Clevinger
• Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
• Game Day: Tuesday, July 5, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Mike Clevinger

• Clevinger makes the start for the Padres, his seventh of the season. He is 2-0 with a 2.79 ERA and 31 strikeouts in 29 innings pitched.
• The righty last pitched on Wednesday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he tossed 6 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up one hit.
• In seven games this season, the 31-year-old has a 2.79 ERA and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .200 to opposing hitters.
• Clevinger has recorded one quality start this year.
• Clevinger has put together two starts this year in which he pitched five or more innings.
• He will face off against a Mariners offense that ranks 16th in MLB with 639 total hits (on a .234 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .382 (18th in MLB) with 85 total home runs (16th in MLB).

Mariners Starter Logan Gilbert

• The Mariners’ Gilbert (9-3) will make his 17th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up four earned runs on eight hits in a matchup with the Oakland Athletics.
• The 25-year-old has an ERA of 2.76, a 3.538 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.120 in 16 games this season.
• In 16 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in eight of them.
• Gilbert will look to pitch five or more innings for the 17th start in a row.
• The Padres have scored 367 runs this season, which ranks 11th in MLB. They are batting .240 for the campaign with 68 home runs, 24th in the league.
• Among qualified pitchers this season, the 25-year-old’s 2.76 ERA ranks 16th, 1.120 WHIP ranks 23rd, and 8.7 K/9 ranks 25th.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Padres have won 32 out of the 56 games, or 57.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
• This season, San Diego has won 28 of its 45 games, or 62.2%, when favored by at least -130 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 56.5%.
• San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 37 of their 83 chances.
• The Padres are 41-42-0 against the spread this season.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mariners have been underdogs in 49 games this season and have come away with the win 19 times (38.8%) in those contests.
• Seattle has a mark of 14-21 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +109 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 47.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Contests with Seattle have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 38 of 82 chances this season.
• The Mariners have an against the spread record of 42-40-0 in 82 games with a line this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Manny Machado has accumulated a team-high batting average of .318, while pacing the Padres in home runs (12) and runs batted in (46).
• Among all MLB hitters, Machado ranks fifth in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage, and 15th in slugging.
• Jurickson Profar has 20 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 45 walks while batting .243.
• Profar ranks 100th in homers in the majors, and 58th in RBI.
• Jake Cronenworth has 20 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 35 walks while hitting .244.
• Cronenworth is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with two walks.
• Eric Hosmer has 14 doubles, six home runs and 24 walks while batting .269.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

• Julio Rodriguez paces the Mariners with 15 long balls.
• In all of MLB, Rodriguez ranks 28th in home runs and 36th in RBI.
• Rodriguez takes a hitting streak of eight games into this game. During his last 10 games he is batting .343 with two doubles, a triple, five home runs, two walks and nine RBI.
• J.P. Crawford has 15 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 30 walks while batting .267.
• Crawford is 179th in home runs and 192nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Eugenio Suarez is batting .240 with 17 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 39 walks.
• Adam Frazier is hitting .218 with 13 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 28 walks.