Padres vs. Mariners Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/13/2022

by | Sep 12, 2022

The Seattle Mariners (79-61) and Eugenio Suarez (2 HR in his last game) are underdogs (+100) on the moneyline for their matchup with the San Diego Padres (77-64) on Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET. Yu Darvish gets the starting nod for San Diego while Logan Gilbert is Seattle’s starter for the contest.

Padres vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Padres vs Mariners Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Padres -120 +100 6.5 -115 -105 -1.5 +145 -170

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Mariners

After taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at +100. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 6.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (+100) and Over (6.5)

Padres vs. Mariners Game Info

  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Yu Darvish
  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
  • Game Day: Tuesday, September 13, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Location: Seattle, Washington
  • Stadium: T-Mobile Park

San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Darvish Gilbert
26 GS 28
13-7 W-L 12-5
3.31 ERA 3.23
168.2 IP 161.2
34 BB 42
168 SO 151

Padres Starter Yu Darvish

  • Darvish (13-7 with a 3.31 ERA and 168 strikeouts in 168 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Padres, his 27th of the season.
  • In his most recent time out on Thursday, the righty threw six innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, allowing three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • In 26 games this season, the 36-year-old has a 3.31 ERA and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .212 to opposing batters.
  • Darvish is trying to secure his fifth straight quality start in this outing.
  • Darvish will look to build on a 25-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 innings per outing).
  • The opposing Mariners offense has the 18th-ranked slugging percentage (.389) and ranks eighth in MLB play with 169 home runs. It has a collective .230 batting average, and is 25th in MLB with 1070 total hits and 19th in MLB play scoring 589 runs.
  • Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 36-year-old ranks 25th in ERA (3.31), eighth in WHIP (.984), and 15th in K/9 (9.0).

Mariners Starter Logan Gilbert

  • The Mariners will send Gilbert (12-5) to the mound for his 29th start this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he allowed five hits in six scoreless innings against the Chicago White Sox.
  • The 25-year-old has pitched in 28 games this season with an ERA of 3.23, a 3.595 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.200.
  • He’s looking to extend his three-game quality start streak.
  • Gilbert will look to pitch five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
  • The Padres have scored 620 runs this season, which ranks 13th in MLB. They are batting .240 for the campaign with 133 home runs, 20th in the league.
  • This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Padres in one game, and they have gone 6-for-23 with two doubles and an RBI over 5 1/3 innings.
  • The 25-year-old’s 3.23 ERA ranks 21st, 1.200 WHIP ranks 33rd, and 8.4 K/9 ranks 26th among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Padres have won 57 out of the 101 games, or 56.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • This season, San Diego has won 53 of its 90 games, or 58.9%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 70 of their 142 games with a total.
  • The Padres are 60-82-0 against the spread this season.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have been victorious in 35, or 46.1%, of the 76 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Seattle has a mark of 28-32 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +100 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 50% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Seattle and their opponents have hit the over in 65 of their 140 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Mariners are 77-63-0 against the spread in their 140 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Manny Machado’s 28 homers and 90 RBI both lead the Padres, on top of his team-high .301 average.
  • Machado’s home runs place him 15th in MLB, and he is 10th in RBI.
  • Juan Soto is batting .239 with 20 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 119 walks.
  • Soto ranks 31st in home runs and 106th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Josh Bell has 28 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 71 walks while batting .277.
  • Jurickson Profar is batting .240 with 32 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 69 walks.
Manny Machado 130 .301 .369 .541 28 90 151
Juan Soto 133 .239 .402 .451 24 52 108
Josh Bell 138 .277 .368 .446 17 68 139
Jurickson Profar 133 .240 .336 .397 14 56 120
Jake Cronenworth 138 .243 .339 .399 16 73 125

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners with a .275 batting average.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Rodriguez ranks 27th in home runs and 42nd in RBI.
  • Rodriguez carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .412 with two doubles, two home runs, five walks and four RBI.
  • Ty France has a club-high .275 batting average.
  • France is 62nd among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 38th in RBI.
  • Suarez leads the Mariners in home runs (30) and runs batted in (82).
  • J.P. Crawford has 23 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 52 walks while hitting .252.
Julio Rodríguez 123 .275 .338 .490 25 70 132
Ty France 120 .275 .340 .439 18 71 129
Eugenio Suárez 139 .235 .336 .468 30 82 118
J.P. Crawford 126 .252 .332 .349 6 38 116
Adam Frazier 137 .242 .309 .317 3 35 117

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