Padres vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/15/2022

The San Diego Padres (65-52) are -135 favorites when they meet the Miami Marlins (50-65) on Monday at 6:40 PM ET. Juan Soto has 98 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at loanDepot park. Joe Musgrove will get the ball for San Diego while Miami counter with Sandy Alcantara.

Padres vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Marlins

After taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +114. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 6.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+114) and Over (6.5)

Padres vs. Marlins Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara
• Game Day: Monday, August 15, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Joe Musgrove

• Musgrove gets the start for the Padres, his 21st of the season. He is 8-5 with a 2.91 ERA and 124 strikeouts through 127 innings pitched.
• In his most recent appearance on Wednesday against the San Francisco Giants, the righty went seven innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering six hits.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 2.91, with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in 20 games this season. Opponents are hitting .216 against him.
• Musgrove is looking to collect his 17th quality start of the season.
• Musgrove enters the matchup with 19 outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
• The opposing Marlins offense has a collective .234 batting average, and is 21st in the league with 901 total hits and 27th in MLB play with 430 runs scored. It has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.369) and ranks 23rd in home runs (104) in all of MLB.
• Musgrove has a 2.57 ERA and a 0.857 WHIP against the Marlins this season in seven innings pitched, allowing a .200 batting average over one appearance.
• The 29-year-old’s 2.91 ERA ranks 14th, 1.016 WHIP ranks 13th, and 8.8 K/9 ranks 23rd among qualifying pitchers this season.

Marlins Starter Sandy Alcantara

• Alcantara (10-5) will take to the mound for the Marlins and make his 24th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed eight hits in 7 2/3 innings against the Philadelphia Phillies.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 2.01 and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .198 in 23 games this season.
• He has 17 quality starts in 23 chances this season.
• Alcantara has pitched five or more innings in 17 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Padres are batting .243 this season, 15th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .383 (20th in the league) with 105 home runs.
• The Padres have gone 5-for-19 with two doubles, a triple and two RBI in 4 2/3 innings this season against the right-hander.
• Among qualified pitchers this campaign, the 26-year-old’s 2.01 ERA ranks third, .946 WHIP ranks sixth, and 7.9 K/9 ranks 37th.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have entered the game as favorites 84 times this season and won 48, or 57.1%, of those games.
• San Diego has a record of 36-27, a 57.1% win rate, when favored by -135 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.4% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 56 of their 118 opportunities.
• The Padres are 54-64-0 against the spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been victorious in 21, or 32.3%, of the 65 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win 12 times in 41 chances when named as an underdog of at least +114 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 46.7% chance of pulling out a win.
• Miami and their opponents have hit the over in 50 of their 115 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 115 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 51-64-0 against the spread.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Soto is hitting .257 with 20 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 101 walks.
• Soto’s home runs place him 24th in MLB, and he ranks 73rd in RBI.
• Soto has collected a hit in six straight games. During his last 10 outings he is batting .351 with three doubles, a triple, a home run, eight walks and three RBI.
• Manny Machado has a club-high .299 batting average.
• Machado ranks 27th in home runs and 17th in RBI on the year.
• Machado heads into this game looking for his seventh game in a row with a hit. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .349 with six doubles, two home runs, two walks and 11 RBI.
• Josh Bell is batting .287 with 25 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 58 walks.
• Brandon Drury’s 23 home runs and 72 runs batted in both pace his team.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jesus Aguilar has a team-high 15 home runs and has driven in 47 runs.
• Aguilar ranks 59th in homers and 86th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Miguel Rojas is hitting .235 with 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 23 walks.
• Rojas is 213th overall in home runs and 206th in RBI this season.
• Garrett Cooper paces the Marlins with a team-best batting average of .272.
• Jon Berti is hitting .263 with 11 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 27 walks.