Padres vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/16/2022

Juan Soto is on the brink of his 99th hit of the season for the San Diego Padres (65-53) as they get set to take on the Miami Marlins (51-65) on Tuesday. The Padres enter the matchup as -155 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from loanDepot park at 6:40 PM ET. San Diego’s Sean Manaea gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Edward Cabrera.

Padres vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Marlins

After looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +131. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+131) and Over (7.5)

Padres vs. Marlins Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Sean Manaea
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 16, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Sean Manaea

• Manaea (6-6) gets the starting nod for the Padres in his 22nd start of the season. He’s put together a 4.76 ERA in 119 innings pitched, with 122 strikeouts.
• The lefty’s most recent appearance came on Wednesday against the San Francisco Giants, when he went five innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing six hits.
• The 30-year-old has amassed a 4.76 ERA and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings across 21 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .249 to his opponents.
• Manaea is looking to pick up his 15th quality start of the year.
• Manaea enters this game with 16 outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
• He will match up with a Marlins team that is batting .235 as a unit (24th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .370 (27th in MLB) with 105 total home runs (21st in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Marlins this season, Manaea has thrown six innings, giving up three earned runs on seven hits while striking out eight.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 30-year-old’s 4.76 ERA ranks 53rd, 1.328 WHIP ranks 49th, and 9.2 K/9 ranks 15th.

Marlins Starter Edward Cabrera

• Cabrera (3-1) will take to the mound for the Marlins and make his sixth start of the season.
• The right-hander allowed three hits in 5 2/3 scoreless innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 2.05 and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .144 in five games this season.
• He has two quality starts in five chances this season.
• Cabrera has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Padres rank 10th in MLB with 524 runs scored this season. They have a .242 batting average this campaign with 105 home runs (21st in the league).

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have been favorites in 85 games this season and won 48 (56.5%) of those contests.
• This season, San Diego has won 30 of its 44 games, or 68.2%, when favored by at least -155 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 60.8% chance to win.
• Games involving San Diego have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 56 of 119 chances this season.
• The Padres have an ATS record of 54-65-0 in 119 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 66 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (33.3%) in those games.
• This season, Miami has been victorious five times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +131 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 43.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with Miami have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 50 of 116 chances this season.
• The Marlins are 52-64-0 against the spread in their 116 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Soto is batting .255 with 20 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 102 walks.
• Soto’s home runs place him 24th in the majors, and he is 73rd in RBI.
• Manny Machado’s .301 batting average paces his team.
• Machado ranks 27th in home runs and 17th in RBI on the season.
• Machado has seven straight games with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is batting .372 with six doubles, two home runs, a walk and 10 RBI.
• Josh Bell has 25 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 58 walks while hitting .285.
• Brandon Drury has hit 23 home runs with 72 runs batted in. Both lead his team.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Miguel Rojas is hitting .241 with 14 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 23 walks.
• Rojas is 213th in home runs and 207th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Rojas carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with a triple, three walks and an RBI.
• Jesus Aguilar has hit 15 home runs with 47 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Aguilar is currently 60th in homers and 87th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Garrett Cooper has accumulated a team-high batting average of .272.
• Jon Berti has 12 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 27 walks while hitting .268.