Padres vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/17/2022

The Miami Marlins (51-65) and Nick Fortes (2 HR in his last game) are underdogs (+122) on the moneyline for their matchup with the San Diego Padres (65-53) on Wednesday at 4:10 PM ET. Mike Clevinger will get the ball for San Diego while Miami counter with Pablo Lopez.

Padres vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Marlins

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +122. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+122) and Over (7)

Padres vs. Marlins Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Mike Clevinger
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Pablo López
• Game Day: Wednesday, August 17, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Mike Clevinger

• Clevinger (4-4) gets the starting nod for the Padres in his 14th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.47 ERA in 70 innings pitched, with 65 strikeouts.
• The right-hander’s most recent time out was on Friday against the Washington Nationals, when he tossed five innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing three hits.
• In 14 games this season, the 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.47, with 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .223 against him.
• Clevinger is trying to secure his fifth quality start of the season in this matchup.
• Clevinger is trying to collect his ninth start of five or more innings this season in this game.
• The opposing Marlins offense has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.370) and is 21st in MLB play with 105 home runs. It has a collective .235 batting average, and is 22nd in MLB with 910 total hits and 27th in MLB play scoring 433 runs.

Marlins Starter Pablo López

• Lopez (7-7) will take the mound for the Marlins, his 24th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Atlanta Braves.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in 23 games this season with an ERA of 3.55, a 3.486 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.144.
• He has earned a quality start eight times in 23 starts this season.
• Lopez has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Padres have scored 524 runs this season, which ranks 11th in MLB. They are batting .242 for the campaign with 105 home runs, 21st in the league.
• The Padres have gone 5-for-29 in one game against the right-hander this season.
• Among qualified pitchers this year, the 26-year-old’s 3.55 ERA ranks 35th, 1.144 WHIP ranks 32nd, and 9.0 K/9 ranks 19th.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Padres have won 48 out of the 86 games, or 55.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
• San Diego is 31-23 this season when entering a game favored by -144 or more on the moneyline.
• The Padres have a 59% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 56 of their 120 games with a total this season.
• The Padres are 54-66-0 against the spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have come away with 23 wins in the 67 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 11-25 when favored by +122 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 45% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 50 of their 117 opportunities.
• The Marlins have posted a record of 53-64-0 against the spread this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Juan Soto is hitting .254 with 20 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 103 walks.
• Among all batters in the majors, Soto ranks 24th in home runs and 73rd in RBI.
• Manny Machado has 73 RBI while batting .304. Both lead his team.
• Machado ranks 27th in home runs in the majors, and 12th in RBI.
• Machado has eight games in a row with at least one hit. During his last 10 games he is hitting .395 with six doubles, two home runs, three walks and 13 RBI.
• Josh Bell is hitting .281 with 25 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 58 walks.
• Brandon Drury has shown his power as he paces his team with 23 home runs.
• Drury has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBI.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jesus Aguilar leads the Marlins in home runs (15) and runs batted in (48).
• Among all hitters in MLB, Aguilar ranks 64th in homers and 83rd in RBI.
• Miguel Rojas has 14 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 23 walks while hitting .238.
• Rojas ranks 214th in homers and 210th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Garrett Cooper has accumulated a team-best batting average of .269.
• Jon Berti has 12 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 27 walks while hitting .268.