Padres vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/14/2022

The San Diego Padres (64-52) are -289 favorites when they take on the Washington Nationals (38-77) on Sunday at 12:05 PM ET. Juan Soto has 97 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Nationals Park. San Diego’s Blake Snell gets the start, and he’ll go against Washington’s Paolo Espino.

Padres vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Nationals

Our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +234 after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+234) and Over (9)

Padres vs. Nationals Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Blake Snell
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Paolo Espino
• Game Day: Sunday, August 14, 2022
• Game Time: 12:05 PM ET
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Stadium: Nationals Park

San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Blake Snell

• Snell makes the start for the Padres, his 16th of the season. He is 4-6 with a 3.96 ERA and 95 strikeouts in 72 2/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent time out came on Tuesday against the San Francisco Giants, when the lefty went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up six hits.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.96, with 11.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in 14 games this season. Opponents are hitting .226 against him.
• Snell is trying to secure his sixth quality start of the year in this outing.
• Snell is looking for his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 frames per appearance on the hill.
• He will match up with a Nationals offense that ranks 11th in MLB with 953 total hits (on a .248 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .376 (25th in MLB) with 95 total home runs (28th in MLB).

Nationals Starter Paolo Espino

• The Nationals will send Espino (0-4) to the mound for his 12th start this season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Chicago Cubs, giving up one earned run while allowing six hits.
• The 35-year-old has pitched in 31 games this season with an ERA of 4.04, a 4.462 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.269.
• None of Espino’s 11 starts this season have met the criteria for a quality start.
• Espino has made four starts of five or more innings in 11 chances this season, and averages 2.1 frames when he pitches.
• The Padres have scored 518 runs this season, which ranks 10th in MLB. They have 950 hits, 14th in baseball, with 105 home runs (20th in the league).

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Padres have been favored 83 times and won 47, or 56.6%, of those games.
• San Diego has a record of 2-2 when favored by -289 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The Padres have a 74.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 56 of their 117 opportunities.
• The Padres have an ATS record of 53-64-0 in 117 games with a spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 99 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (31.3%) in those games.
• This season, Washington has come away with a win three times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +234 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 29.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Contests with Washington have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 57 of 115 chances this season.
• The Nationals are 48-67-0 against the spread in their 115 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Soto is batting .256 with 20 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 99 walks.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Soto’s home run total ranks him 24th, and his RBI tally puts him 72nd.
• Soto takes a hitting streak of five games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .381 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Manny Machado is batting .298 to pace his team.
• Among all major league hitters, Machado is 27th in homers and 18th in RBI.
• Machado has five straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .435 with five doubles, two home runs, a walk and eight RBI.
• Josh Bell is hitting .290 with 25 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 57 walks.
• Brandon Drury has hit 23 home runs with 71 runs batted in. Both lead his team.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Nelson Cruz has driven in a team-leading 53 runs batted in.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Cruz is 162nd in homers and 59th in RBI.
• Cesar Hernandez has 23 doubles, three triples and 35 walks while hitting .243.
• Hernandez is currently 401st in homers and 232nd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Keibert Ruiz leads the Nationals’ lineup with a .245 batting average.
• Luke Voit has hit a team-best 15 home runs.