Padres vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/19/2022

Manny Machado (10 games) will look to add to his hitting streak when the San Diego Padres (66-55) and Washington Nationals (40-80) meet Friday at 9:40 PM ET, live from PETCO Park. Machado and the Padres are favored by sportsbooks with -366 odds on the moneyline. Blake Snell will get the ball for San Diego while Washington counter with Paolo Espino.

Padres vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Nationals

We have the Nationals on the moneyline at +286 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after digging through all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+286) and Over (7.5)

Padres vs. Nationals Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Blake Snell
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Paolo Espino
• Game Day: Friday, August 19, 2022
• Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Blake Snell

• Snell (5-6 with a 3.66 ERA and 105 strikeouts in 78 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Padres, his 17th of the season.
• In his last appearance on Sunday against the Washington Nationals, the left-hander threw six scoreless innings while surrendering three hits.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.66, with 12.0 strikeouts per nine innings, in 15 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .220 batting average against him.
• Snell heads into this game with six quality starts under his belt this year.
• Snell will aim to last five or more innings for his sixth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing.
• He will take the mound against a Nationals squad that is hitting .248 as a unit (12th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .375 (25th in MLB) with 99 total home runs (28th in MLB).
• Snell has thrown six innings without giving up an earned run on three hits, while striking out 10 against the Nationals this season.

Nationals Starter Paolo Espino

• Espino (0-5) will take the mound for the Nationals, his 13th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the San Diego Padres, giving up four earned runs while allowing seven hits.
• The 35-year-old has an ERA of 4.20 and 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .277 in 32 games this season.
• In 12 starts this season, Espino has not yet earned a quality start.
• Espino has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Padres have scored 538 runs this season, which ranks ninth in MLB. They are batting .242 for the campaign with 107 home runs, 21st in the league.
• The Padres have gone 7-for-24 with two doubles and four RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have been favorites in 88 games this season and won 49 (55.7%) of those contests.
• San Diego has played as a favorite of -366 or more once this season and lost that game.
• The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 78.5%.
• So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 57 of their 122 games with a total.
• The Padres are 55-67-0 ATS in their 122 games with a spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have won in 33, or 31.7%, of the 104 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Washington has been listed as an underdog of +286 or more on two occasions this season and won both games.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 25.9% chance of pulling out a win.
• Contests with Washington have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 59 of 120 chances this season.
• The Nationals have an against the spread record of 51-69-0 in 120 games with a line this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Juan Soto is batting .253 with 20 doubles, two triples, 22 home runs and 106 walks.
• In all of MLB, Soto ranks 25th in home runs and 79th in RBI.
• Machado’s 74 RBI and .305 batting average both lead his team.
• Of all major league hitters, Machado ranks 25th in home runs and 14th in RBI.
• Machado carries a 10-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last 10 games he is hitting .442 with seven doubles, three home runs, four walks and 14 RBI.
• Josh Bell has 26 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 59 walks while hitting .278.
• Brandon Drury’s 23 home runs pace his team.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Nelson Cruz has racked up a team-leading 59 runs batted in.
• In all of the big leagues, Cruz ranks 152nd in homers and 39th in RBI.
• Cesar Hernandez is hitting .247 to lead the lineup.
• Hernandez ranks 401st in homers and 228th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Keibert Ruiz is batting .242 with 19 doubles, six home runs and 25 walks.
• Luke Voit has swatted a team-high 16 home runs.