Padres vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/21/2022

The San Diego Padres will look to pick up their 68th win of the season when they take on the Washington Nationals (41-81) Sunday. The game begins at 4:10 PM ET, with the Padres listed as -279 favorites on the moneyline. Sean Manaea takes the mound for San Diego while Patrick Corbin is Washington’s starter for the contest.

Padres vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Nationals

Our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +226 after digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+226) and Over (8.5)

Padres vs. Nationals Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Sean Manaea
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
• Game Day: Sunday, August 21, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Sean Manaea

• Manaea makes the start for the Padres, his 23rd of the season. He is 6-6 with a 4.83 ERA and 128 strikeouts in 123 innings pitched.
• In his last time out on Tuesday against the Miami Marlins, the left-hander tossed 4 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• In 22 games this season, the 30-year-old has a 4.83 ERA and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .249 to opposing batters.
• Manaea heads into the matchup with 14 quality starts under his belt this year.
• Manaea is trying to record his 17th start of five or more innings this season in this matchup.
• He meets a Nationals offense that ranks 25th in the league with 460 runs while batting .247 as a unit. It has a collective .374 slugging percentage (26th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 101 home runs (28th in MLB).
• The 30-year-old’s 4.83 ERA ranks 56th, 1.325 WHIP ranks 49th, and 9.4 K/9 ranks 13th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Nationals Starter Patrick Corbin

• Corbin (4-16) will take to the mound for the Nationals and make his 25th start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up four earned runs in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Chicago Cubs.
• The 33-year-old has pitched to a 6.96 ERA this season with 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.2 walks per nine across 24 games.
• In 24 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in six of them.
• In 24 starts this season, Corbin has lasted five or more innings 15 times, with an average of 4.3 innings per appearance.
• The Padres have scored 543 runs this season, which ranks 11th in MLB. They are batting .240 for the campaign with 109 home runs, 21st in the league.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have been favorites in 90 games this season and won 50 (55.6%) of those contests.
• San Diego has entered eight games this season favored by -279 or more and is 4-4 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 73.6%.
• So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 58 of their 124 games with a total.
• The Padres are 55-69-0 against the spread in their 124 chances this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have been underdogs in 106 games this season and have come away with the win 34 times (32.1%) in those contests.
• This season, Washington has come away with a win six times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +226 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 30.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Washington and their opponents have gone over in 60 of their 122 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Nationals are 53-69-0 against the spread in their 122 games that had a posted line this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Juan Soto has left the yard 23 times this season, the highest mark on the Padres, while hitting .254 with 50 RBI.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Soto’s home run total ranks him 23rd, and his RBI tally puts him 80th.
• Manny Machado has a club-leading 76 runs batted in and .302 batting average.
• Machado is 27th in home runs and 13th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Josh Bell is hitting .278 with 26 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 60 walks.
• Brandon Drury has hit 23 home runs to pace his team.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Nelson Cruz has driven in the most runs for the Nationals with 59 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in MLB, Cruz’s home run total is 152nd and his RBI tally ranks 44th.
• Cruz carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a walk and three RBI.
• Cesar Hernandez is hitting .245 to lead the lineup.
• Hernandez is currently 401st in home runs and 232nd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Keibert Ruiz is hitting .244 with 19 doubles, six home runs and 27 walks.
• Luke Voit has collected a team-best 16 home runs.