Padres vs. Phillies Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/25/2022

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Saturday when the San Diego Padres (45-28) and Philadelphia Phillies (37-35) take to the field at 10:10 PM ET. Manny Machado is batting .328 for the Padres (-118 favorites on the moneyline) while Bryce Harper leads the underdog Phillies (-101) with a .320 average. Blake Snell will get the ball for San Diego while Philadelphia counter with Zach Eflin.

Padres vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Phillies

Our best bet is the Phillies on the moneyline at -101 after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (-101) and Over (7.5)

Padres vs. Phillies Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Blake Snell
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Zach Eflin
• Game Day: Saturday, June 25, 2022
• Game Time: 10:10 PM ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Blake Snell

• Snell (0-4 with a 5.46 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 29 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Padres, his eighth of the season.
• His last appearance was on Sunday against the Colorado Rockies, when the left-hander tossed 4 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up five hits.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 5.46, with 10.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in six games this season. Opponents have a .232 batting average against him.
• Snell is looking to pick up his third quality start of the season in this game.
• Snell will try to collect his fourth game of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 4.3 innings per appearance.
• The opposing Phillies offense has the seventh-ranked slugging percentage (.412) and is sixth in MLB play with 90 home runs. It has a collective .246 batting average, and is ninth in MLB with 602 total hits and sixth in MLB play scoring 340 runs.
• Head-to-head against the Phillies this season, Snell has thrown 3 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on three hits while striking out five.

Phillies Starter Zach Eflin

• Eflin (2-5) will take to the mound for the Phillies and make his 13th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed five hits in 2 2/3 innings pitched against the Washington Nationals on Sunday.
• The 28-year-old has pitched to a 4.71 ERA this season with 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.9 walks per nine across 12 games.
• He has started 12 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in four of them.
• Eflin has started 12 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings seven times. He averages 5.1 innings per appearance.
• The Padres have scored 340 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB. They have 605 hits, eighth in baseball, with 63 home runs (24th in the league).
• The Padres have gone 5-for-23 with an RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Padres have won 31 out of the 51 games, or 60.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
• This season, San Diego has won 27 of its 44 games, or 61.4%, when favored by at least -118 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 33 of their 74 chances.
• The Padres are 39-35-0 ATS in their 74 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 26 games this year and have walked away with the win 11 times (42.3%) in those games.
• Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 10-12 when favored by -101 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 50.2% chance of walking away with the win.
• Contests with Philadelphia have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 40 of 72 chances this season.
• In 72 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 36-36-0 against the spread.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Machado has racked up a team-high batting average of .328, and paces the Padres in home runs (12) and runs batted in (46).
• Machado ranks 39th in home runs and 14th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Jurickson Profar is batting .251 with 17 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 39 walks.
• Profar ranks 82nd in homers in MLB, and 35th in RBI.
• Jake Cronenworth has 18 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 31 walks while batting .246.
• Eric Hosmer has 13 doubles, six home runs and 24 walks while batting .278.
• Hosmer is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a double, two home runs, two walks and two RBI.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Harper leads the Phillies with 48 runs batted in while racking up a team-high batting average of .320.
• Harper is 18th in homers and 10th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Kyle Schwarber has put his power on display as he paces his team with 20 home runs.
• Schwarber is fourth overall in home runs and 25th in RBI this season.
• Rhys Hoskins is batting .249 with 12 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 35 walks.
• Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .242 with 17 doubles, seven home runs and 21 walks.