Padres vs. Phillies Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/26/2022

The San Diego Padres (45-29) host the Philadelphia Phillies (38-35) at 4:10 PM ET Sunday in a meeting between two of the league’s best hitters. Manny Machado is batting .328 this year (fifth in the league) for the favored Padres (-159), while Bryce Harper ranks ninth in the majors with a .318 average for the underdog Phillies. Yu Darvish gets the starting nod for San Diego while Kyle Gibson is Philadelphia’s starter for the contest.

Padres vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Phillies

We have the Phillies on the moneyline at +136 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (+136) and Over (7.5)

Padres vs. Phillies Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Yu Darvish
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
• Game Day: Sunday, June 26, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Yu Darvish

• Darvish (7-3 with a 3.17 ERA and 66 strikeouts in 82 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Padres, his 14th of the season.
• In his last outing on Tuesday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, the righty tossed 7 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering four hits.
• The 35-year-old has an ERA of 3.17, with 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 13 games this season. Opponents have a .208 batting average against him.
• Darvish is looking for his fourth quality start in a row.
• Darvish will try to prolong a 12-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing).
• He will face a Phillies offense that ranks seventh in the league with 344 runs while batting .245 as a unit. It has a collective .411 slugging percentage (seventh in MLB action) and has hit a total of 91 home runs (sixth in MLB).
• Darvish has thrown seven innings without giving up an earned run on six hits, while striking out five against the Phillies this season.
• The 35-year-old’s 3.17 ERA ranks 25th, .960 WHIP ranks 10th, and 7.2 K/9 ranks 48th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Phillies Starter Kyle Gibson

• The Phillies’ Gibson (4-3) will make his 15th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw 6 1/3 innings against the Texas Rangers, giving up three earned runs while allowing seven hits.
• The 34-year-old has an ERA of 4.06, a 3.3 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.210 in 14 games this season.
• He’s looking to extend his three-game quality start streak.
• Gibson has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Padres rank ninth in MLB with 342 runs scored this season. They have a .242 batting average this campaign with 63 home runs (24th in the league).
• The Padres have gone 8-for-24 with two RBI in 5 2/3 innings this season against the right-hander.
• Among qualified pitchers in the majors this year, the 34-year-old ranks 47th in ERA (4.06), 40th in WHIP (1.210), and 41st in K/9 (7.6).

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Padres have been favored 52 times and won 31, or 59.6%, of those games.
• San Diego has entered 23 games this season favored by -159 or more and is 17-6 in those contests.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 61.4% chance to win.
• San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 33 of their 75 games with a total this season.
• The Padres are 39-36-0 ATS in their 75 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have won in 12, or 44.4%, of the 27 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This year, Philadelphia has won three of six games when listed as at least +136 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 42.4% chance of walking away with the win.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 40 of their 73 opportunities.
• The Phillies are 37-36-0 against the spread in their 73 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Machado has put up a team-high batting average of .328, and leads the Padres in home runs (12) and runs batted in (46).
• Machado is 40th in home runs and 16th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Jurickson Profar has 17 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 39 walks while batting .251.
• Profar is 84th in homers in baseball, and 40th in RBI.
• Profar has two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a double, three walks and two RBI.
• Jake Cronenworth has 18 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 32 walks while hitting .245.
• Eric Hosmer is batting .273 with 13 doubles, six home runs and 24 walks.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Harper leads the Phillies with 48 runs batted in while accumulating a team-best batting average of .318.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Harper’s home run total ranks 19th and his RBI tally is 10th.
• Kyle Schwarber’s 20 home runs pace his team.
• Among all MLB batters, Schwarber is fifth in homers and 27th in RBI.
• Rhys Hoskins is batting .246 with 12 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 36 walks.
• Nicholas Castellanos is batting .242 with 17 doubles, seven home runs and 21 walks.