Padres vs. Pirates Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/28/2022

The San Diego Padres will look to pick up their 30th win of the season when they take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (18-26) Saturday. The game begins at 10:10 PM ET, with the Padres listed as -246 favorites on the moneyline. Joe Musgrove will get the ball for San Diego while Pittsburgh counter with JT Brubaker.

Padres vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Pirates

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+201) and Over (7)

Padres vs. Pirates Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: JT Brubaker
• Game Day: Saturday, May 28, 2022
• Game Time: 10:10 PM ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Joe Musgrove

• Musgrove makes the start for the Padres, his ninth of the season. He is 5-0 with a 1.90 ERA and 51 strikeouts in 52 innings pitched.
• His last time out came on Saturday against the San Francisco Giants, when the righty tossed seven scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 1.90, with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in eight games this season. Opposing hitters have a .211 batting average against him.
• Musgrove is looking for his ninth quality start in a row.
• Musgrove will aim to last five or more innings for his ninth straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.2 frames per outing.
• He will face a Pirates offense that ranks 29th in the league with 149 runs while batting .223 as a squad. It has a collective .352 slugging percentage (27th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 35 home runs (25th in MLB).
• Musgrove has a 1.29 ERA and a 1.000 WHIP against the Pirates this season in seven innings pitched, allowing a .259 batting average over one appearance.
• This season, the 29-year-old ranks fourth in ERA (1.90), ninth in WHIP (.942), and 24th in K/9 (8.8) among qualifying pitchers.

Pirates Starter JT Brubaker

• The Pirates will hand the ball to Brubaker (0-4) for his 10th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Colorado Rockies, giving up no earned runs while allowing five hits.
• The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.64, a 2.238 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.359 in nine games this season.
• He has earned a quality start one time in nine starts this season.
• Brubaker will look to pitch five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
• The Padres rank 21st in MLB with a .231 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 26th in the league (.354) and 33 home runs.
• The right-hander has faced the Padres one time this season, allowing them to go 5-for-20 with two doubles, a home run and three RBI in five innings.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Padres have won 20 out of the 30 games, or 66.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
• San Diego has not entered a game this season as a bigger favorite on the moneyline than the -246 odds on them winning this game.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 71.1% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of their 46 games with a total.
• The Padres are 24-22-0 against the spread in their 46 chances this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have been underdogs in 33 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (36.4%) in those contests.
• Pittsburgh has been listed as an underdog of +201 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 33.2% chance of walking away with the win.
• Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 17 of their 44 opportunities.
• The Pirates have posted a record of 21-23-0 against the spread this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Manny Machado has a team-best batting average of .357, and paces the Padres in home runs (eight) and runs batted in (27).
• Among all hitters in baseball, Machado’s home run total ranks him 32nd, and his RBI tally puts him 21st.
• Eric Hosmer is batting .331 with eight doubles, four home runs and 17 walks.
• Hosmer ranks 104th in home runs and 38th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Hosmer enters this matchup looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with four walks.
• Jurickson Profar is batting .212 with nine doubles, a triple, five home runs and 25 walks.
• Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .215 with seven doubles, a triple, four home runs and 15 walks.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ben Gamel has driven in the most runs for the Pirates with 17 runs batted in.
• In all of the big leagues, Gamel is 152nd in home runs and 121st in RBI.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has a club-best .272 batting average.
• Hayes ranks 330th in homers and 185th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with six long balls.
• Michael Chavis is hitting .286 with five doubles, two triples, four home runs and five walks.

Betting Tips for Padres vs. Pirates

After analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +201. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.