Padres vs. Rockies Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/11/2022

by | Jul 11, 2022

An NL West matchup Monday features the second-place San Diego Padres (49-38) visiting the fifth-place Colorado Rockies (38-48). The Padres (-145) are listed as favorites for the game, which gets underway at 8:40 PM ET from Coors Field. San Diego’s Sean Manaea gets the start, and he’ll go against Colorado’s Jose Urena.

Padres vs. Rockies Spread and Betting Line

Padres vs Rockies Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Padres -145 +123 11.5 -117 -103 -1.5 +102 -123

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Rockies

Our best bet is the Rockies on the moneyline at +123 after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 11.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Colorado Rockies (+123) and Over (11.5)

Padres vs. Rockies Game Info

  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Sean Manaea
  • Colorado Rockies probable starting pitcher: José Ureña
  • Game Day: Monday, July 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:40 PM ET
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Stadium: Coors Field

San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Pitching Matchup

Manaea Ureña
15 GS 1
3-4 W-L 0-0
4.18 ERA 2.51
88.1 IP 14.1
35 BB 8
92 SO 5

Padres Starter Sean Manaea

  • Manaea (3-4 with a 4.18 ERA and 92 strikeouts in 88 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Padres, his 16th of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last time out was on Monday against the Seattle Mariners, when he tossed 3 1/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • In 15 games this season, the 30-year-old has an ERA of 4.18, with 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .225 against him.
  • Manaea enters this outing with 11 quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Manaea is looking to secure his 13th start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
  • He will face off against a Rockies squad that is hitting .258 as a unit (second in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .400 (10th in MLB) with 80 total home runs (21st in MLB).
  • The 30-year-old’s 4.18 ERA ranks 49th, 1.234 WHIP ranks 42nd, and 9.4 K/9 ranks 14th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Rockies Starter José Ureña

  • Urena heads to the mound for the Rockies to make his second start of the season, seeking his first win.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Thursday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, throwing 6 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run.
  • He has pitched in five games this season with an ERA of 2.51, a 0.625 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.395.
  • The Padres rank 14th in MLB with 378 runs scored this season. They have a .239 batting average this campaign with 70 home runs (25th in the league).

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Padres have won 34, or 56.7%, of the 60 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • This season, San Diego has won 19 of its 30 games, or 63.3%, when favored by at least -145 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 59.2%.
  • San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 40 of their 88 chances.
  • The Padres are 42-46-0 against the spread in their 88 chances this season.

Rockies Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rockies have won in 27, or 39.1%, of the 69 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • This season, Colorado has come away with a win 16 times in 44 chances when named as an underdog of at least +123 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 44.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with Colorado have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 42 of 88 chances this season.
  • The Rockies have an against the spread record of 45-43-0 in 88 games with a line this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Manny Machado’s 14 long balls and 50 RBI both lead the Padres, on top of his team-high .309 average.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Machado ranks 39th in homers and 23rd in RBI.
  • Jake Cronenworth is hitting .235 with 21 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 37 walks.
  • Cronenworth ranks 140th in homers in MLB, and 45th in RBI.
  • Eric Hosmer has 14 doubles, six home runs and 24 walks while hitting .272.
  • Hosmer has at least one base hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with .
  • Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .236 with 13 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 31 walks.
Manny Machado 76 .309 .385 .530 14 50 88
Jake Cronenworth 85 .235 .328 .375 7 44 77
Eric Hosmer 77 .272 .327 .383 6 33 79
Ha-Seong Kim 77 .236 .327 .359 5 28 61
Trent Grisham 84 .191 .287 .329 8 32 53

Rockies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • C.J. Cron has posted a team-leading 20 home runs and has driven in 66 runs.
  • In all of the big leagues, Cron is 11th in homers and second in RBI.
  • Cron carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
  • Charlie Blackmon has 15 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 22 walks while batting .265.
  • Blackmon is currently 45th in home runs and 33rd in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Brendan Rodgers has 18 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 22 walks while hitting .254.
  • Connor Joe is batting .268 with 14 doubles, four triples, five home runs and 44 walks.
C.J. Cron 84 .295 .350 .551 20 66 96
Charlie Blackmon 77 .265 .317 .454 13 46 81
Brendan Rodgers 75 .254 .308 .410 8 42 75
Connor Joe 78 .268 .369 .391 5 20 81
José Iglesias 70 .297 .338 .391 2 23 76

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