Padres vs. Rockies Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/14/2022

by | Jul 14, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Padres vs. Rockies Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/14/2022

The Colorado Rockies (40-49) are +116 underdogs for their matchup with the San Diego Padres (50-40) on Thursday at 3:10 PM ET. C.J. Cron has 97 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Coors Field. San Diego’s Blake Snell and Colorado’s Kyle Freeland have been named the starters for this contest.

Padres vs. Rockies Spread and Betting Line

Padres vs Rockies Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Padres -136 +116 11.5 -111 -109 -1.5 +108 -130

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Rockies

After looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Rockies on the moneyline at +116. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 11.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Colorado Rockies (+116) and Under (11.5)

Padres vs. Rockies Game Info

  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Blake Snell
  • Colorado Rockies probable starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland
  • Game Day: Thursday, July 14, 2022
  • Game Time: 3:10 PM ET
  • Location: Denver, Colorado
  • Stadium: Coors Field

San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Pitching Matchup

Snell Freeland
10 GS 17
1-5 W-L 4-7
4.66 ERA 4.70
46.1 IP 97.2
25 BB 29
61 SO 66

Padres Starter Blake Snell

  • Snell gets the start for the Padres, his 11th of the season. He is 1-5 with a 4.66 ERA and 61 strikeouts in 46 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Saturday against the San Francisco Giants, the left-hander went 6 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering three hits.
  • The 29-year-old has put up a 4.66 ERA and 11.8 strikeouts per nine innings across nine games this season, while allowing a batting average of .223 to opposing hitters.
  • Snell has three quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Snell is seeking his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.0 frames per appearance on the mound.
  • He will face a Rockies squad that is hitting .260 as a unit (first in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .404 (10th in MLB) with 83 total home runs (21st in MLB).
  • Snell has a 5.06 ERA and a 1.594 WHIP against the Rockies this season in 10 2/3 innings pitched, allowing a .268 batting average over two appearances.

Rockies Starter Kyle Freeland

  • The Rockies will send Freeland (4-7) to the mound for his 18th start this season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 6 1/3 innings while giving up six earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • The 29-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with an ERA of 4.70 and 6.1 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .273.
  • He has earned a quality start seven times in 17 starts this season.
  • Freeland will look to pitch five or more innings for the ninth start in a row.
  • The Padres rank 16th in MLB with a .241 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 26th in the league (.374) and 74 home runs.
  • This season, the left-hander has pitched against the Padres in two games, and they have gone 11-for-46 with four doubles, a triple, a home run and six RBI over 13 innings.
  • Among qualified pitchers this year, the 29-year-old’s 4.70 ERA ranks 58th, 1.372 WHIP ranks 53rd, and 6.1 K/9 ranks 59th.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Padres have been favorites in 63 games this season and won 35 (55.6%) of those contests.
  • San Diego has entered 41 games this season favored by -136 or more and is 24-17 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 57.6%.
  • San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 41 of their 91 chances.
  • The Padres have an ATS record of 42-49-0 in 91 games with a spread this season.

Rockies Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rockies have won in 29, or 40.3%, of the 72 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Colorado has a mark of 18-32 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +116 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 46.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Colorado and their opponents have gone over in 43 of their 91 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Rockies are 48-43-0 against the spread in their 91 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Manny Machado’s 15 homers and 51 RBI both lead the Padres, in addition to his team-high .304 average.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Machado ranks 33rd in home runs and 21st in RBI.
  • Jake Cronenworth is batting .242 with 22 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 40 walks.
  • Cronenworth is 101st in home runs and 34th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Eric Hosmer has 14 doubles, six home runs and 27 walks while hitting .273.
  • Ha-Seong Kim is hitting .240 with 15 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 33 walks.
  • Kim takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .357 with two doubles, four walks and two RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Manny Machado 79 .304 .380 .525 15 51 91
Jake Cronenworth 88 .242 .338 .398 9 47 82
Eric Hosmer 79 .273 .332 .380 6 35 81
Ha-Seong Kim 80 .240 .332 .367 5 30 64
Trent Grisham 87 .190 .293 .324 8 32 54

Rockies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Cron paces the Rockies in home runs (20) and runs batted in (67).
  • In all of the big leagues, Cron is 12th in home runs and third in RBI.
  • Charlie Blackmon is hitting .273 with 16 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 23 walks.
  • Blackmon ranks 41st in home runs and 25th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Brendan Rodgers has 18 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 22 walks while hitting .254.
  • Connor Joe is batting .265 with 16 doubles, four triples, five home runs and 45 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
C.J. Cron 86 .294 .347 .545 20 67 97
Charlie Blackmon 80 .273 .325 .473 14 50 87
Brendan Rodgers 77 .254 .306 .406 8 43 77
Connor Joe 81 .265 .368 .390 5 22 83
José Iglesias 73 .301 .340 .405 3 31 81

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