Padres vs. Rockies Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/4/2022

The San Diego Padres (61-46) are -300 favorites when they take on the Colorado Rockies (46-61) on Thursday at 4:10 PM ET. Brandon Drury has 97 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at PETCO Park. San Diego’s Joe Musgrove gets the start, and he’ll go against Colorado’s Kyle Freeland.

Padres vs. Rockies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Rockies

After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Rockies on the moneyline at +246. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Colorado Rockies (+246) and Over (7.5)

Padres vs. Rockies Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove
• Colorado Rockies probable starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland
• Game Day: Thursday, August 4, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Joe Musgrove

• Musgrove (8-4) gets the starting nod for the Padres in his 19th start of the season. He’s put together a 2.65 ERA in 115 1/3 innings pitched, with 114 strikeouts.
• In his last time out on Saturday against the Minnesota Twins, the righty threw six innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• In 18 games this season, the 29-year-old has amassed a 2.65 ERA and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .207 to his opponents.
• Musgrove is trying to collect his 16th quality start of the year.
• Musgrove will try to extend a 19-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 innings per appearance).
• He will take the hill against a Rockies team that is hitting .260 as a unit (second in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .403 (12th in MLB) with 95 total home runs (23rd in MLB).
• Musgrove has thrown 11 innings, giving up five earned runs on 13 hits while striking out 12 against the Rockies this season.
• The 29-year-old’s 2.65 ERA ranks 12th, .988 WHIP ranks eighth, and 8.9 K/9 ranks 20th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Rockies Starter Kyle Freeland

• Freeland (6-7) will take to the mound for the Rockies and make his 21st start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw six innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, giving up three earned runs while allowing six hits.
• The 29-year-old has pitched to a 4.63 ERA this season with 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.6 walks per nine across 20 games.
• He’s going for his third quality start in a row.
• Freeland has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Padres are batting .242 this season, 16th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .383 (21st in the league) with 97 home runs.
• The Padres have gone 17-for-61 with six doubles, a triple, two home runs and 11 RBI in three games against the left-hander this season.
• Among qualified pitchers this campaign, the 29-year-old’s 4.63 ERA ranks 60th, 1.343 WHIP ranks 54th, and 6.4 K/9 ranks 57th.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have entered the game as favorites 77 times this season and won 44, or 57.1%, of those games.
• San Diego has played as a favorite of -300 or more once this season and won that game.
• The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 75%.
• So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 50 of their 108 games with a total.
• The Padres are 50-58-0 against the spread this season.

Rockies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rockies have been underdogs in 87 games this season and have come away with the win 33 times (37.9%) in those contests.
• The Rockies have won all of their four games in which they were named as at least a +246 moneyline underdog.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rockies have a 28.9% chance of walking away with the win.
• Contests with Colorado have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 51 of 109 chances this season.
• The Rockies are 59-50-0 against the spread in their 109 games that had a posted line this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Juan Soto leads the Padres with 21 home runs.
• Among all MLB hitters, Soto ranks 101st in batting average, second in on-base percentage, and 27th in slugging.
• Soto has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a home run, nine walks and an RBI.
• Josh Bell is batting .300 to lead his team.
• Bell is 58th in homers in the majors, and 28th in RBI.
• Manny Machado is batting .293 with 22 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 43 walks.
• Jurickson Profar is hitting .258 with 24 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 53 walks.

Rockies Leaders & Batting Stats

• C.J. Cron paces the Rockies with 22 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 72.
• Cron’s home run total puts him 15th in the big leagues, and he is seventh in RBI.
• Charlie Blackmon is hitting .266 with 17 doubles, four triples, 16 home runs and 25 walks.
• Blackmon is currently 41st in homers and 23rd in RBI in the big leagues.
• Brendan Rodgers is batting .282 with 23 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 28 walks.
• Jose Iglesias paces the Rockies with a team-high batting average of .309.