Padres vs. Royals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/26/2022

The Kansas City Royals (51-75) are the underdogs on the moneyline (+150) in Friday’s contest with the San Diego Padres (68-58). Game time is set for 8:10 PM ET. The Royals are favored against the spread in this one () with odds. Joe Musgrove will get the ball for San Diego while Kansas City counter with Kris Bubic.

Padres vs. Royals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Royals

Our best bet is the Royals on the moneyline at +150 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Kansas City Royals (+150) and Over (8)

Padres vs. Royals Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove
• Kansas City Royals probable starting pitcher: Kris Bubic
• Game Day: Friday, August 26, 2022
• Game Time: 8:10 PM ET
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• Stadium: Kauffman Stadium

San Diego Padres vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Joe Musgrove

• Musgrove makes the start for the Padres, his 23rd of the season. He is 8-6 with a 2.91 ERA and 136 strikeouts in 139 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Sunday, the righty tossed 6 2/3 innings against the Washington Nationals, giving up one earned run while surrendering four hits.
• In 22 games this season, the 29-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.91, with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .219 against him.
• Musgrove is trying to build upon a third-game quality start streak in this matchup.
• Musgrove will try to build on a four-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 innings per outing).
• He will face a Royals offense that ranks 24th in the league with 481 runs while batting .242 as a squad. It has a collective .375 slugging percentage (24th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 104 home runs (25th in MLB).
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 29-year-old’s 2.91 ERA ranks 17th, 1.014 WHIP ranks 13th, and 8.8 K/9 ranks 20th.

Royals Starter Kris Bubic

• The Royals’ Bubic (2-8) will make his 21st start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up four earned runs and allowed eight hits in 3 2/3 innings pitched against the Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday.
• The 25-year-old has pitched in 21 games this season with an ERA of 5.29 and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .288.
• He has earned a quality start five times in 20 starts this season.
• In 20 starts this season, Bubic has lasted five or more innings 12 times, with an average of 4.2 innings per appearance.
• The Padres have scored 546 runs this season, which ranks 14th in MLB. They have 1018 hits, 15th in baseball, with 110 home runs (23rd in the league).

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have won 51, or 54.8%, of the 93 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• San Diego has a record of 20-10, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -178 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 64% chance to win.
• San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of their 127 opportunities.
• The Padres have an ATS record of 55-72-0 in 127 games with a spread this season.

Royals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Royals have been victorious in 42, or 39.3%, of the 107 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Kansas City has come away with a win nine times in 41 chances when named as an underdog of at least +150 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 40% chance of walking away with the win.
• Contests with Kansas City have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 62 of 129 chances this season.
• In 129 games with a line this season, the Royals have a mark of 61-68-0 against the spread.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Juan Soto has hit a team-best 23 homers.
• In all of the majors, Soto is 25th in home runs and 84th in RBI.
• Manny Machado has a club-high 76 runs batted in and .297 batting average.
• Machado ranks 29th in home runs and 15th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Josh Bell is batting .277 with 27 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 61 walks.
• Brandon Drury has hit 23 home runs to pace his team.

Royals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 18 home runs and 64 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .252.
• Witt Jr.’s home run total places him 43rd in the big leagues, and he is 32nd in RBI.
• Witt Jr. carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .243 with two doubles, a triple, three home runs and seven RBI.
• MJ Melendez is hitting .226 with 15 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 48 walks.
• Melendez is currently 82nd in homers and 113th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Hunter Dozier has 22 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 31 walks while hitting .237.
• Salvador Perez has 16 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 13 walks while hitting .226.