Padres vs. Royals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/27/2022

After a four-hit game last time out, Jose Azocar leads the San Diego Padres (69-58) as -227 favorites against the Kansas City Royals (51-76). Action gets underway from Kauffman Stadium at 7:10 PM ET on Saturday. San Diego’s Yu Darvish gets the start, and he’ll go against Kansas City’s Daniel Lynch.

Padres vs. Royals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Royals

After taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Royals on the moneyline at +186. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Kansas City Royals (+186) and Over (8.5)

Padres vs. Royals Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Yu Darvish
• Kansas City Royals probable starting pitcher: Daniel Lynch
• Game Day: Saturday, August 27, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• Stadium: Kauffman Stadium

San Diego Padres vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Yu Darvish

• Darvish makes the start for the Padres, his 24th of the season. He is 10-7 with a 3.39 ERA and 147 strikeouts in 148 2/3 innings pitched.
• The righty’s last appearance came on Friday, Aug. 19 against the Washington Nationals, when he went 8 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing five hits.
• The 36-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.39, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 23 games this season. Opponents are hitting .217 against him.
• Darvish is looking to secure his 19th quality start of the year in this game.
• Darvish will look to build upon a 22-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 frames per appearance).
• The opposing Royals offense has a collective .242 batting average, and is 16th in the league with 1029 total hits and 24th in MLB action with 486 runs scored. It has the 25th-ranked slugging percentage (.375) and ranks 26th in home runs (105) in all of MLB.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 36-year-old’s 3.39 ERA ranks 31st, .989 WHIP ranks 11th, and 8.9 K/9 ranks 18th.

Royals Starter Daniel Lynch

• The Royals’ Lynch (4-8) will make his 21st start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw 4 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox, giving up three earned runs while allowing seven hits.
• The 25-year-old has pitched in 20 games this season with an ERA of 4.58, a 2.167 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.515.
• He has two quality starts in 20 chances this season.
• Lynch has made 13 starts of five or more innings in 20 chances this season, and averages 4.3 frames when he pitches.
• The Padres have scored 559 runs this season, which ranks 12th in MLB. They have 1037 hits, 14th in baseball, with 113 home runs (23rd in the league).

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have won 52, or 55.3%, of the 94 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• San Diego has a record of 8-5, a 61.5% win rate, when favored by -227 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 69.4% chance of a victory for the Padres.
• San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 59 of their 128 opportunities.
• The Padres are 56-72-0 against the spread this season.

Royals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Royals have been underdogs in 108 games this season and have come away with the win 42 times (38.9%) in those contests.
• This year, Kansas City has won four of 20 games when listed as at least +186 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 35% chance of pulling out a win.
• Kansas City’s games have gone over the total in 63 of their 130 opportunities.
• The Royals have an against the spread mark of 61-69-0 in 130 games with a line this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Juan Soto has homered 23 times this season, the highest mark on the Padres, while hitting .252 with 50 RBI.
• Soto is 25th in homers and 86th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Manny Machado has 76 RBI while batting .297. Both lead his team.
• Machado is 29th in homers and 16th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Josh Bell is batting .279 with 28 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 62 walks.
• Bell will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
• Brandon Drury has hit 23 home runs to lead his team.
• Drury has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with a double.

Royals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bobby Witt Jr. paces the Royals in home runs (18), runs batted in (64) and has a team-best batting average of .254.
• In all of the big leagues, Witt Jr. ranks 43rd in homers and 36th in RBI.
• Witt Jr. has collected a hit in seven games in a row. During his last 10 games he is batting .289 with two doubles, a triple, three home runs and seven RBI.
• MJ Melendez has 15 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 49 walks while batting .227.
• Melendez ranks 82nd among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 112th in RBI.
• Salvador Perez is hitting .230 with 16 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 14 walks.
• Hunter Dozier is hitting .237 with 22 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 31 walks.