Padres vs. Royals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/28/2022

The San Diego Padres (69-58), led by Wil Myers on a two-game home run streak, are -189 favorites on the moneyline to defeat the Kansas City Royals (51-76). First pitch is set for 2:10 PM ET Sunday, live from Kauffman Stadium. Sean Manaea gets the starting nod for San Diego while Jonathan Heasley is Kansas City’s starter for the contest.

Padres vs. Royals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Royals

We have the Royals on the moneyline at +159 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Kansas City Royals (+159) and Over (9.5)

Padres vs. Royals Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Sean Manaea
• Kansas City Royals probable starting pitcher: Jonathan Heasley
• Game Day: Sunday, August 28, 2022
• Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• Stadium: Kauffman Stadium

San Diego Padres vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Sean Manaea

• Manaea gets the start for the Padres, his 24th of the season. He is 7-6 with a 4.64 ERA and 132 strikeouts in 130 innings pitched.
• The lefty’s most recent appearance was on Sunday against the Washington Nationals, when he went seven innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up five hits.
• The 30-year-old has an ERA of 4.64, with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 23 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .247 batting average against him.
• Manaea is trying to record his 16th quality start of the season.
• Manaea has put up 17 starts this year in which he pitched five or more innings.
• He will match up with a Royals squad that is batting .242 as a unit (16th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .375 (25th in MLB) with 105 total home runs (26th in MLB).
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB play this season, the 30-year-old ranks 51st in ERA (4.64), 46th in WHIP (1.292), and 14th in K/9 (9.1).

Royals Starter Jonathan Heasley

• The Royals will send Jon Heasley (1-7) to the mound for his 15th start this season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he allowed four hits in 4 2/3 scoreless innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
• The 25-year-old has pitched to a 5.21 ERA this season with 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.5 walks per nine across 14 games.
• He has started 14 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in four of them.
• In 14 starts this season, Heasley has lasted five or more innings eight times, with an average of 4.2 innings per appearance.
• The Padres rank 16th in MLB with a .242 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 21st in the league (.380) and 113 home runs.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Padres have been favored 95 times and won 53, or 55.8%, of those games.
• San Diego has a record of 15-6 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -189 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Padres, based on the moneyline, is 65.4%.
• San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 59 of their 129 opportunities.
• The Padres are 56-73-0 against the spread in their 129 chances this season.

Royals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Royals have been underdogs in 109 games this season and have come away with the win 42 times (38.5%) in those contests.
• Kansas City has a mark of 8-31 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +159 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 38.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Contests with Kansas City have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 63 of 131 chances this season.
• The Royals have an against the spread record of 62-69-0 in 131 games with a line this season.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Juan Soto has left the yard 23 times this season, the highest mark on the Padres, while hitting .254 with 50 RBI.
• Soto ranks 25th in home runs and 85th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Manny Machado has a club-high 77 RBI and .298 batting average.
• Machado is 30th in homers in the majors, and 16th in RBI.
• Machado has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with two walks and an RBI.
• Josh Bell is batting .280 with 28 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 63 walks.
• Bell has at least one base hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Brandon Drury has hit 23 home runs to lead his team.
• Drury has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a double and an RBI.

Royals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bobby Witt Jr. leads the squad with a batting average of .254, and paces the Royals in home runs, with 18 and runs batted in with 64.
• Witt Jr. is 42nd in homers and 37th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Witt Jr. brings a hitting streak of eight games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is batting .289 with two doubles, a triple, three home runs, a walk and seven RBI.
• MJ Melendez is hitting .224 with 15 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 50 walks.
• Melendez is 82nd overall in home runs and 114th in RBI this year.
• Salvador Perez has 16 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 14 walks while hitting .230.
• Hunter Dozier is hitting .239 with 22 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 31 walks.