Padres vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/29/2022

Coming off of a 1-2 series loss to the Tigers, the San Diego Padres (55-45) are -120 favorites to pick up the win in Game 1 of a three-game series against the Minnesota Twins (52-46). The series begins at PETCO Park, starting on Friday at 9:40 PM ET. Blake Snell will get the ball for San Diego while Minnesota counter with Joe Ryan.

Padres vs. Twins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Padres vs. Twins

Our best bet is the Twins on the moneyline at +100 after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Minnesota Twins (+100) and Over (7.5)

Padres vs. Twins Game Info

• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Blake Snell
• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Joe Ryan
• Game Day: Friday, July 29, 2022
• Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: PETCO Park

San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

Padres Starter Blake Snell

• Snell makes the start for the Padres, his 13th of the season. He is 2-5 with a 4.75 ERA and 71 strikeouts through 55 innings pitched.
• In his most recent appearance on Saturday, the left-hander went five scoreless innings against the New York Mets while surrendering four hits.
• The 29-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.75, with 11.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in 11 games this season. Opponents have a .228 batting average against him.
• Snell is trying to collect his fourth quality start of the year.
• Snell will try to collect his eighth game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.0 innings per appearance.
• He will match up with a Twins offense that ranks 10th in MLB with 835 total hits (on a .252 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .419 (sixth in MLB) with 122 total home runs (ninth in MLB).

Twins Starter Joe Ryan

• Ryan (7-3) will take to the mound for the Twins and make his 16th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Detroit Tigers, giving up one earned run while allowing four hits.
• The 26-year-old has pitched to a 2.89 ERA this season with 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.6 walks per nine across 15 games.
• He has six quality starts in 15 chances this season.
• Ryan has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Padres have scored 432 runs this season, which ranks 15th in MLB. They have 810 hits, 16th in baseball, with 81 home runs (26th in the league).

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Padres have won 38 out of the 70 games, or 54.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
• San Diego has a record of 34-25 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -120 on the moneyline.
• The Padres have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 46 of their 101 games with a total this season.
• The Padres are 46-55-0 ATS in their 101 games with a spread this season.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have won in 15, or 39.5%, of the 38 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Minnesota has a mark of 10-20 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +100 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 50% chance of walking away with the win.
• Contests with Minnesota have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 47 of 99 chances this season.
• In 99 games with a line this season, the Twins have a mark of 47-52-0 against the spread.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Manny Machado’s 16 round-trippers and 54 RBI both lead the Padres, on top of his team-high .299 average.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Machado ranks 34th in homers and 24th in RBI.
• Jurickson Profar is batting .242 with 21 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 51 walks.
• Profar ranks 116th in home runs and 85th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Jake Cronenworth is batting .235 with 23 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 47 walks.
• Eric Hosmer is hitting .274 with 16 doubles, seven home runs and 31 walks.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Luis Arraez paces the Twins with a team-leading batting average of .333.
• Arraez’s home run total places him 214th in the big leagues, and he is 150th in RBI.
• Jorge Polanco has capitalized on opportunities as he paces his team with 49 runs batted in.
• Polanco is currently 47th in homers and 44th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Max Kepler has 13 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 41 walks while hitting .244.
• Byron Buxton has hit a team-high 24 home runs.