Phillies vs. Braves Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/30/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (39-37) will be out to avoid the sweep when they host the Atlanta Braves (44-32) to complete a three-game series. Sportsbooks have listed the Phillies as -152 favorites for the series finale, while the Braves are +130 underdogs. Aaron Nola starts for Philadelphia while Ian Anderson is Atlanta’s starter for the contest.

Phillies vs. Braves Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Braves

We have the Braves on the moneyline at +130 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Atlanta Braves (+130) and Over (8.5)

Phillies vs. Braves Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Ian Anderson
• Game Day: Thursday, June 30, 2022
• Game Time: 6:05 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Aaron Nola

• Nola (4-5 with a 2.98 ERA and 109 strikeouts in 96 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Phillies, his 16th of the season.
• The righty’s most recent appearance was on Saturday against the San Diego Padres, when he threw 7 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up seven hits.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 2.98, with 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 15 games this season. Opponents have a .207 batting average against him.
• Nola is trying to extend a fourth-game quality start streak in this game.
• Nola will look to prolong a 14-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 innings per appearance).
• The opposing Braves offense has the best slugging percentage (.439) and is second in MLB play with 114 home runs. It has a collective .246 batting average, and is 10th in MLB with 635 total hits and sixth in MLB action scoring 358 runs.
• In 8 1/3 innings over one appearance against the Braves this season, Nola has a 1.08 ERA and a 0.6 WHIP while his opponents are batting .167.
• The 29-year-old ranks 19th in ERA (2.98), fourth in WHIP (.890), and 10th in K/9 (10.1) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Braves Starter Ian Anderson

• Anderson (6-4) will take to the mound for the Braves and make his 15th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
• The 24-year-old has pitched in 14 games this season with an ERA of 4.60, a 1.806 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.453.
• In 14 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in four of them.
• Anderson has started 14 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 11 times. He averages 5.1 innings per appearance.
• The Phillies have scored 356 runs this season, which ranks 10th in MLB. They have 634 hits, 11th in baseball, with 94 home runs (seventh in the league).

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have won 26, or 55.3%, of the 47 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Philadelphia has entered 17 games this season favored by -152 or more and is 12-5 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.3% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 76 games with a total this season.
• The Phillies are 38-38-0 against the spread in their 76 chances this season.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have been underdogs in 21 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (38.1%) in those contests.
• Atlanta has a mark of 1-2 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +130 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 43.5% chance of walking away with the win.
• Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 38 of their 75 opportunities.
• The Braves have posted a record of 37-38-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber has gone yard 22 times this season, the highest mark on the Phillies, while hitting .217 with 47 RBI.
• In all of the majors, Schwarber ranks fourth in home runs and 17th in RBI.
• Rhys Hoskins is batting .250 with 14 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 37 walks.
• Hoskins is 29th in home runs and 47th in RBI on the year.
• Hoskins carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .278 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
• Nicholas Castellanos has 17 doubles, seven home runs and 21 walks while hitting .245.
• J.T. Realmuto has 11 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 22 walks while hitting .235.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Matt Olson has put up a team-leading 43 runs batted in.
• In all of the majors, Olson is 44th in home runs and 29th in RBI.
• Olson takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with three doubles, two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
• Dansby Swanson has a club-best 43 runs batted in and .291 batting average.
• Swanson is currently 36th in home runs and 29th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Austin Riley has been solid source of run production for the Braves with 18 long balls and 43 runs batted in.
• Marcell Ozuna is batting .222 with nine doubles, 14 home runs and 21 walks.