Phillies vs. Cardinals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/11/2022

by | Jul 11, 2022

Seeking their 47th win of the year, the Philadelphia Phillies (46-40) are favorites (-114) on the moneyline when they take on the St. Louis Cardinals (46-42) Monday at 7:15 PM ET. Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola gets the start, and he’ll go against St. Louis’ Miles Mikolas.

Phillies vs. Cardinals Spread and Betting Line

Phillies vs Cardinals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Phillies -114 -106 7.5 -109 -111 -1.5 +150 -179

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Cardinals

After looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Cardinals on the moneyline at -106. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: St. Louis Cardinals (-106) and Over (7.5)

Phillies vs. Cardinals Game Info

  • Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
  • St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas
  • Game Day: Monday, July 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • Location: St. Louis, Missouri
  • Stadium: Busch Stadium

Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Pitching Matchup

Nola Mikolas
17 GS 17
5-6 W-L 5-7
3.15 ERA 2.72
111.1 IP 106.0
15 BB 22
120 SO 83

Phillies Starter Aaron Nola

  • Nola (5-6 with a 3.15 ERA and 120 strikeouts in 111 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Phillies, his 18th of the season.
  • In his most recent appearance on Wednesday, the right-hander went 7 2/3 innings against the Washington Nationals, allowing three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • The 29-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.15, with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 17 games this season. Opponents are hitting .213 against him.
  • Nola is trying to pick up his 11th quality start of the year.
  • Nola will look to extend a 16-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.2 frames per appearance).
  • He meets a Cardinals offense that ranks 11th in the league with 394 runs while batting .249 as a unit. It has a collective .398 slugging percentage (13th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 91 home runs (15th in MLB).
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 29-year-old’s 3.15 ERA ranks 22nd, .916 WHIP ranks sixth, and 9.7 K/9 ranks 11th.

Cardinals Starter Miles Mikolas

  • Mikolas (5-7) will take to the mound for the Cardinals and make his 18th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Atlanta Braves.
  • The 33-year-old has an ERA of 2.72 and 7 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .212 in 17 games this season.
  • In 17 starts this season, he’s earned 11 quality starts.
  • Mikolas has pitched five or more innings in 16 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Phillies rank fifth in MLB with 409 runs scored this season. They have a .247 batting average this campaign with 112 home runs (fifth in the league).
  • The Phillies have gone 6-for-21 with a double, a home run and two RBI in 5 1/3 innings this season against the right-hander.
  • Among qualified pitchers in the majors this year, the 33-year-old ranks 13th in ERA (2.72), 10th in WHIP (.991), and 51st in K/9 (7).

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Phillies have been favorites in 54 games this season and won 31 (57.4%) of those contests.
  • Philadelphia is 29-23 this season when entering a game favored by -114 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 53.3%.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of their 86 games with a total this season.
  • The Phillies are 46-40-0 against the spread this season.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cardinals have been victorious in 19, or 43.2%, of the 44 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • St. Louis has a mark of 18-24 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -106 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 51.5% chance of walking away with the win.
  • St. Louis and their opponents have gone over in 40 of their 89 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Cardinals are 46-42-0 against the spread in their 88 games that had a posted line this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies in home runs (28) and runs batted in (57).
  • Among all batters in baseball, Schwarber’s home run total places him second, and his RBI tally puts him 10th.
  • Rhys Hoskins is hitting .252 with 17 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Hoskins is 19th in homers in MLB, and 53rd in RBI.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is batting .251 with 18 doubles, eight home runs and 21 walks.
  • J.T. Realmuto has 11 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 24 walks while batting .236.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Kyle Schwarber 84 .222 .336 .531 28 57 69
Rhys Hoskins 85 .252 .345 .481 17 42 79
Nicholas Castellanos 85 .251 .298 .378 8 45 83
J.T. Realmuto 75 .236 .310 .369 7 35 64
Alec Bohm 81 .271 .305 .383 6 33 82

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Paul Goldschmidt leads the Cardinals with 19 home runs and 65 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .340.
  • Goldschmidt ranks 13th in home runs and fourth in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Nolan Arenado is batting .292 with 20 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 31 walks.
  • Arenado is 19th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 12th in RBI.
  • Tommy Edman has 13 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 30 walks while batting .257.
  • Brendan Donovan has 14 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 29 walks while hitting .285.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Paul Goldschmidt 84 .340 .424 .610 19 65 107
Nolan Arenado 84 .292 .359 .522 17 55 93
Tommy Edman 86 .257 .322 .376 7 33 86
Dylan Carlson 69 .252 .314 .403 5 24 60
Brendan Donovan 65 .285 .392 .391 2 26 59

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