Phillies vs. Cardinals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/2/2022

Coming off of a cycle in his last game, Nolan Arenado leads the St. Louis Cardinals (43-36) into action as +112 underdogs against the Philadelphia Phillies (41-37). Action gets underway from Citizens Bank Park at 4:05 PM ET on Saturday. Philadelphia’s Kyle Gibson and St. Louis’ Matthew Liberatore have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Cardinals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Cardinals

Our best bet is the Cardinals on the moneyline at +112 after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: St. Louis Cardinals (+112) and Over (9.5)

Phillies vs. Cardinals Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
• St. Louis Cardinals probable starting pitcher: Matthew Liberatore
• Game Day: Saturday, July 2, 2022
• Game Time: 4:05 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Kyle Gibson

• The Phillies are sending Gibson (4-3) out to make his 16th start of the season. He is 4-3 with a 4.48 ERA and 68 strikeouts in 80 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Sunday, the righty went 2 2/3 innings against the San Diego Padres, allowing five earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• The 34-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.48, with 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in 15 games this season. Opponents have a .256 batting average against him.
• Gibson has seven quality starts under his belt this year.
• Gibson enters this game with 10 outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
• The opposing Cardinals offense has the 10th-ranked slugging percentage (.408) and ranks 14th in MLB play with 83 home runs. It has a collective .254 batting average, and is third in MLB with 684 total hits and third in MLB action scoring 376 runs.
• The 34-year-old’s 4.48 ERA ranks 57th, 1.257 WHIP ranks 45th, and 7.6 K/9 ranks 41st among qualifying pitchers this season.

Cardinals Starter Matthew Liberatore

• Liberatore will make his first start of the season for the Cardinals.
• The left-hander is making his first start of the year. The 22-year-old did not make an appearance on the mound last season.
• The Phillies rank fourth in MLB with 375 runs scored this season. They have a .247 batting average this campaign with 101 home runs (sixth in the league).

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 48 games this season and won 27 (56.2%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia is 16-16 this season when entering a game favored by -133 or more on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 57.1% chance to win.
• So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 43 of their 78 games with a total.
• The Phillies have an ATS record of 40-38-0 in 78 games with a spread this season.

Cardinals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cardinals have been underdogs in 37 games this season and have come away with the win 17 times (45.9%) in those contests.
• This season, St. Louis has come away with a win six times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +112 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 47.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• St. Louis and their opponents have hit the over in 39 of their 80 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Cardinals are 44-35-0 against the spread in their 79 games that had a posted line this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber is the Phillies best power option, connecting on 23 home runs this season in addition to accumulating 51 RBI, both team highs.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Schwarber’s home run total places him second, and his RBI tally puts him 12th.
• Schwarber brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a double, three home runs, two walks and nine RBI.
• Rhys Hoskins is hitting .254 with 14 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 40 walks.
• Hoskins ranks 18th in home runs in baseball, and 36th in RBI.
• Hoskins has five games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .375 with two doubles, three home runs, four walks and four RBI.
• Nicholas Castellanos has 17 doubles, eight home runs and 21 walks while hitting .245.
• J.T. Realmuto is batting .239 with 11 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 22 walks.

Cardinals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Paul Goldschmidt leads the Cardinals with 19 home runs and 65 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .344.
• In all of the big leagues, Goldschmidt is eighth in homers and second in RBI.
• Arenado is batting .288 with 20 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 27 walks.
• Among all MLB batters, Arenado ranks 22nd in home runs and ninth in RBI.
• Tommy Edman is hitting .268 with 12 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 30 walks.
• Brendan Donovan is hitting .303 with 14 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 28 walks.