Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/23/2022

by | Jul 23, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/23/2022

The Chicago Cubs (35-57) and Seiya Suzuki, coming off a four-hit game, are underdogs (+133) on the moneyline and will look to upset the Philadelphia Phillies (49-43) on Saturday at 6:05 PM ET. Zack Wheeler gets the starting nod for Philadelphia while Marcus Stroman is Chicago’s starter for the contest.

Phillies vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Phillies vs Cubs Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Phillies -157 +133 8 -103 -117 -1.5 +134 -160

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Cubs

After taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at +133. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+133) and Over (8)

Phillies vs. Cubs Game Info

  • Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler
  • Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman
  • Game Day: Saturday, July 23, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:05 PM ET
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Wheeler Stroman
17 GS 11
8-5 W-L 2-5
2.89 ERA 4.69
99.2 IP 55.2
22 BB 15
108 SO 54

Phillies Starter Zack Wheeler

  • Wheeler (8-5) gets the starting nod for the Phillies in his 18th start of the season. He has a 2.89 ERA in 99 2/3 innings pitched, with 108 strikeouts.
  • The right-hander’s most recent time out was on Wednesday, July 13 against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he went 4 2/3 innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing seven hits.
  • The 32-year-old has a 2.89 ERA and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings across 17 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .229 to his opponents.
  • Wheeler is looking to record his 12th quality start of the year.
  • Wheeler will try to pick up his 14th outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.3 innings per appearance.
  • He will match up with a Cubs team that is batting .243 as a unit (14th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .390 (15th in MLB) with 88 total home runs (20th in MLB).
  • The 32-year-old ranks 16th in ERA (2.89), 20th in WHIP (1.084), and 11th in K/9 (9.8) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Cubs Starter Marcus Stroman

  • The Cubs will send Stroman (2-5) to the mound for his 12th start this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed one hit in 4 1/3 innings against the New York Mets.
  • The 31-year-old has an ERA of 4.69 and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .230 in 11 games this season.
  • He has started 11 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in three of them.
  • Stroman has started 11 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings six times. He averages 5.0 innings per appearance.
  • The Phillies have scored 431 runs this season, which ranks seventh in MLB. They are batting .246 for the campaign with 120 home runs, fifth in the league.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have won 32 out of the 57 games, or 56.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Philadelphia is 15-6 this season when entering a game favored by -157 or more on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 61.1% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
  • Games involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 48 of 93 chances this season.
  • The Phillies are 50-43-0 against the spread in their 93 chances this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Cubs have come away with 26 wins in the 66 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Chicago has been victorious 12 times in 30 chances when named as an underdog of at least +133 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 42.9% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Chicago and their opponents have gone over in 44 of their 93 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Cubs have an against the spread record of 47-46-0 in 93 games with a line this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Kyle Schwarber has accumulated a team-high 30 home runs and 59 runs batted in.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Schwarber is second in homers and 14th in RBI.
  • Rhys Hoskins is hitting .244 with 18 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 46 walks.
  • Hoskins is 18th in home runs and 62nd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • J.T. Realmuto has 14 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 26 walks while hitting .253.
  • Realmuto will look to build on his five-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .529 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • Alec Bohm is hitting .276 to lead his team.
  • Bohm is riding a seven-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .375 with a double, two home runs, three walks and eight RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Kyle Schwarber 91 .209 .316 .509 30 59 71
Rhys Hoskins 92 .244 .338 .476 19 44 83
J.T. Realmuto 80 .253 .328 .399 8 38 73
Alec Bohm 85 .276 .313 .387 6 35 87
Nicholas Castellanos 92 .248 .294 .370 8 46 89

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ian Happ is batting .281 with 23 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 42 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .369.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Happ is 106th in homers and 62nd in RBI.
  • Happ has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with three RBI.
  • Willson Contreras is batting .258 with 18 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Contreras is currently 44th in homers and 106th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Nico Hoerner paces the Cubs with a team-best batting average of .304.
  • Patrick Wisdom paces the Cubs with 17 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 47.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ian Happ 91 .281 .369 .448 9 44 91
Willson Contreras 79 .258 .372 .471 14 36 75
Nico Hoerner 78 .304 .340 .421 5 29 85
Patrick Wisdom 89 .221 .317 .442 17 47 70
Christopher Morel 56 .274 .343 .484 9 27 60

Sign up for a FREE Consultation to start working with Legendary Sports Bettor Jon Price

  • Sign Up for a FREE CONSULTATION

    Sign up now to have a free consultation and see how Jon Price and his team can turn sports into a lucrative investment for you!

  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.

The leading sports investment firm in the country