Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/24/2022

The Chicago Cubs (37-57) will vie for their fourth straight victory when they visit the Philadelphia Phillies (49-45) on Sunday at 12:05 PM ET. The Phillies are listed as -140 favorites to stop the streak, while the Cubs are +119 underdogs to keep their momentum. Philadelphia’s Bailey Falter gets the start, and he’ll go against Chicago’s Drew Smyly.

Phillies vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Cubs

We have the Cubs on the moneyline at +119 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 10 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+119) and Over (10)

Phillies vs. Cubs Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Bailey Falter
• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Drew Smyly
• Game Day: Sunday, July 24, 2022
• Game Time: 12:05 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Bailey Falter

• Falter starts for the first time this season for the Phillies.
• The 25-year-old left-hander makes his season debut and his first appearance in more than a year.
• The Cubs have totaled 407 runs this season (17th in MLB) and are batting .245 collectively with 93 home runs (18th in the league).

Cubs Starter Drew Smyly

• The Cubs will send Smyly (2-5) to the mound for his 12th start this season.
• The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in 4 1/3 innings pitched against the New York Mets on Sunday, July 17.
• The 33-year-old has pitched in 11 games this season with an ERA of 4.22, a 3.25 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.347.
• In 11 starts this season, Smyly has not yet earned a quality start.
• Smyly has made four starts of five or more innings in 11 chances this season, and averages 4.1 frames when he pitches.
• The Phillies have scored 435 runs this season, which ranks ninth in MLB. They are batting .244 for the campaign with 122 home runs, sixth in the league.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 58 times and won 32, or 55.2%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 19-15 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -140 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• Games involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 49 of 94 chances this season.
• In 94 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 50-44-0 ATS.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 67 games this year and have walked away with the win 27 times (40.3%) in those games.
• Chicago has a win-loss record of 18-24 when favored by +119 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 45.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Contests with Chicago have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 45 of 94 chances this season.
• The Cubs are 48-46-0 against the spread in their 94 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber has put up a team-high 30 home runs and 59 runs batted in.
• Schwarber is second in homers and 14th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Rhys Hoskins is batting .241 with 18 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 46 walks.
• Hoskins is 19th in home runs and 63rd in RBI in the major leagues.
• J.T. Realmuto is hitting .253 with 14 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 26 walks.
• Realmuto has at least one base hit in six games in a row. During his last 10 games he is batting .324 with three doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBI.
• Alec Bohm has a club-leading .276 batting average.
• Bohm is riding an eight-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 games he is batting .375 with a double, two home runs, three walks and nine RBI.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ian Happ has 23 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 42 walks while batting .280.
• Happ’s home run total places him 109th in the majors, and he is 63rd in RBI.
• Happ has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .273 with three RBI.
• Willson Contreras is batting .258 with 19 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 37 walks.
• Contreras is currently 45th in homers and 101st in RBI in the major leagues.
• Nico Hoerner leads the Cubs’ lineup with a .303 batting average.
• Patrick Wisdom paces the Cubs with 17 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 47.