Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/12/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (30-29) hope to complete a three-game sweep of the Arizona Diamondbacks (28-33) when the teams meet at 1:35 PM ET Sunday. The Phillies are -226 favorites to keep the Diamondbacks out of the win column in the series. Ranger Suarez gets the starting nod for Philadelphia while Kyle Nelson is Arizona’s starter for the contest.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Diamondbacks

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+189) and Over (9.5)

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Kyle Nelson
• Game Day: Sunday, June 12, 2022
• Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Ranger Suárez

• Suarez makes the start for the Phillies, his 12th of the season. He is 4-3 with a 4.42 ERA and 47 strikeouts in 55 innings pitched.
• The lefty last pitched on Wednesday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he threw 7 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up six hits.
• The 26-year-old has an ERA of 4.42, with 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 11 games this season. Opponents have a .272 batting average against him.
• Suarez has registered four quality starts this year.
• Suarez has pitched five or more innings in a game six times this year entering this matchup.
• The opposing Diamondbacks offense has a collective .214 batting average, and is 27th in the league with 425 total hits and 24th in MLB play with 237 runs scored. It has the 21st-ranked slugging percentage (.377) and ranks 10th in home runs (71) in all of MLB.

Diamondbacks Starter Kyle Nelson

• Nelson gets the nod for the Diamondbacks and will make his first start of the season.
• The 25-year-old lefty will start for the first time this campaign after pitching in relief 19 times.
• He has pitched in 19 games this season with an ERA of 2.04, a 9.5 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.019.
• The Phillies rank seventh in MLB with a .251 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks second in the league (.427) and 78 home runs.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 35 times and won 20, or 57.1%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has played as a favorite of -226 or more twice this season and split those games.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 69.3% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 34 of their 59 opportunities.
• In 59 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 32-27-0 ATS.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 56 games this year and have walked away with the win 24 times (42.9%) in those games.
• The Diamondbacks have won all of their five games in which they were named as at least a +189 moneyline underdog.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 34.6% chance of pulling out a win.
• Arizona and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 28 of their 66 opportunities.
• The Diamondbacks have posted a record of 38-28-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryce Harper has accumulated a team-high batting average of .322 while leading the Phillies in runs batted in (45).
• Among all MLB hitters, Harper ranks sixth in batting average, 16th in on-base percentage, and fourth in slugging.
• Harper has collected a hit in six games in a row. In his last 10 games he is batting .368 with two doubles, five home runs, six walks and 13 RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has put his power on display as he paces his team with 16 home runs.
• Schwarber is fifth in homers and 27th in RBI on the year.
• Schwarber has four straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
• Rhys Hoskins is batting .235 with 10 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 25 walks.
• Hoskins will look to build on his five-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .409 with a double, three home runs, a walk and four RBI.
• Nicholas Castellanos is batting .254 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 18 walks.
• Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .368 with a double, two walks and two RBI.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker leads the Diamondbacks with 15 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 28.
• In all of the big leagues, Walker ranks 10th in homers and 68th in RBI.
• Ketel Marte’s .267 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Marte ranks 166th in homers and 145th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Daulton Varsho is hitting .249 with 11 doubles, nine home runs and 18 walks.
• David Peralta is batting .232 with 11 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 19 walks.

Betting Tips for Phillies vs. Diamondbacks

After digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +189. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.