Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/30/2022

Aaron Nola will take the mound for the Philadelphia Phillies (72-57) Tuesday looking for his 10th win of the season in a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks (60-67). The Phillies are -136 favorites to pick up the win in the contest, which starts at 9:40 PM ET, live from Chase Field. Philadelphia’s Nola gets the start, and he’ll go against Arizona’s Zac Gallen.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Diamondbacks

Our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +115 after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) and Over (7)

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Zac Gallen
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 30, 2022
• Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
• Location: Phoenix, Arizona
• Stadium: Chase Field

Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Aaron Nola

• Nola (9-10) is looking for his 10th win when he gets the starting nod for the Phillies in his 26th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.08 ERA in 166 2/3 innings pitched, with 185 strikeouts.
• His most recent appearance came on Thursday against the Cincinnati Reds, when the right-hander tossed nine scoreless innings while allowing five hits.
• The 29-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.08, with 10 strikeouts per nine innings, in 25 games this season. Opponents are batting .217 against him.
• Nola has 15 quality starts under his belt this season.
• Nola will try to build on a 24-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.2 frames per outing).
• He will take the mound against a Diamondbacks squad that is hitting .229 as a unit (26th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .386 (17th in MLB) with 138 total home runs (14th in MLB).
• The 29-year-old’s 3.08 ERA ranks 21st, .936 WHIP ranks fourth, and 10 K/9 ranks ninth among qualifying pitchers this season.

Diamondbacks Starter Zac Gallen

• Gallen (9-2) will take the mound for the Diamondbacks, his 25th start of the season.
• The right-hander allowed three hits in six scoreless innings pitched against the Kansas City Royals on Thursday.
• The 27-year-old has pitched to a 2.66 ERA this season with 9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.5 walks per nine across 24 games.
• He’s going for his fifth quality start in a row.
• Gallen has 13 starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Phillies have scored 600 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB. They are batting .252 for the campaign with 163 home runs, sixth in the league.
• The right-hander has faced the Phillies one time this season, allowing them to go 7-for-13 with a double, two home runs and four RBI in 1 2/3 innings.
• The 27-year-old ranks 10th in ERA (2.66), eighth in WHIP (.966), and 15th in K/9 (9) among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 50 out of the 84 games, or 59.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Philadelphia has entered 58 games this season favored by -136 or more and is 36-22 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 57.6%.
• Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 64 of their 129 chances.
• In 129 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 68-61-0 ATS.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 42, or 43.3%, of the 97 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Arizona has come away with a win 30 times in 71 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Arizona and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 62 of their 132 opportunities.
• The Diamondbacks have an against the spread record of 76-56-0 in 132 games with a line this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber has gone yard 36 times in the 2022 campaign while knocking in 77 runs, both totals that lead the Phillies.
• Among all MLB batters, Schwarber ranks 133rd in batting average, 105th in on-base percentage, and 17th in slugging.
• Rhys Hoskins has 23 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 62 walks while hitting .249.
• Hoskins is 17th in homers and 37th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Hoskins has three straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with a double, a walk and five RBI.
• J.T. Realmuto has 22 doubles, five triples, 14 home runs and 34 walks while hitting .268.
• Alec Bohm’s .292 batting average paces his team.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker leads the Diamondbacks with 30 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 73.
• Walker ranks eighth in home runs and 25th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Ketel Marte is hitting .253 with 33 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 47 walks.
• Marte is currently 148th in home runs and 121st in RBI in the major leagues.
• Daulton Varsho has 19 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 40 walks while hitting .237.
• Josh Rojas leads the team in batting average with a mark of .277.