Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/13/2022

A pair of division rivals take the field Monday when the third-place Philadelphia Phillies (30-30) host the fourth-place Miami Marlins (27-31). Bookmakers favor the Phillies (-160) for the contest, which starts at 7:05 PM ET. Philadelphia’s Aaron Nola and Miami’s Sandy Alcantara have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Marlins

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+138) and Over (7.5)

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara
• Game Day: Monday, June 13, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Aaron Nola

• Nola makes the start for the Phillies, his 13th of the season. He is 4-4 with a 3.50 ERA and 85 strikeouts in 74 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Thursday, the right-hander threw eight scoreless innings against the Milwaukee Brewers while surrendering four hits.
• In 12 games this season, the 29-year-old has a 3.50 ERA and 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .205 to opposing batters.
• Nola has registered six quality starts this season.
• Nola is seeking his 11th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 frames per appearance on the hill.
• He will take the hill against a Marlins offense that ranks 18th in MLB with 474 total hits (on a .242 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .395 (13th in MLB) with 64 total home runs (13th in MLB).
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 29-year-old’s 3.50 ERA ranks 32nd, .884 WHIP ranks third, and 10.2 K/9 ranks ninth.

Marlins Starter Sandy Alcantara

• The Marlins will hand the ball to Alcantara (6-2) for his 13th start of the season.
• The right-hander did not allow a run in nine innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
• The 26-year-old has pitched to a 1.61 ERA this season with 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.6 walks per nine across 12 games.
• He’s looking to extend his six-game quality start streak.
• Alcantara has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Phillies have scored 289 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB. They are batting .250 for the campaign with 78 home runs, fourth in the league.
• The Phillies have gone 7-for-24 with two doubles and two RBI in 6 1/3 innings this season against the right-hander.
• Among qualified pitchers this campaign, the 26-year-old’s 1.61 ERA ranks second, .944 WHIP ranks seventh, and 8.3 K/9 ranks 31st.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Phillies have been favored 36 times and won 20, or 55.6%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has entered 12 games this season favored by -160 or more and is 8-4 in those contests.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 61.5% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 35 of their 60 games with a total.
• The Phillies have an ATS record of 32-28-0 in 60 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 31 games this year and have walked away with the win 11 times (35.5%) in those games.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 1-5 when favored by +138 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 42% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Miami and their opponents have gone over in 30 of their 58 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Marlins are 30-28-0 against the spread in their 58 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryce Harper comes into Monday’s game as the Phillies top run producer, accumulating 45 RBI while launching 15 long balls in 2022. His .316 average is also best on the squad.
• Harper’s home runs place him 10th in the majors, and he is sixth in RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has shown off his power as he paces his team with 16 home runs.
• Among all MLB batters, Schwarber is fifth in homers and 28th in RBI.
• Rhys Hoskins is batting .232 with 10 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 27 walks.
• Nicholas Castellanos is batting .251 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 18 walks.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jazz Chisholm leads the Marlins with 12 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 40.
• Chisholm’s home run total places him 20th in the majors, and he is 13th in RBI.
• Jorge Soler has put his power on display as he leads his team with 12 home runs.
• Soler ranks 20th among all batters in the big leagues in homers, and 65th in RBI.
• Jesus Aguilar is hitting .248 with 10 doubles, eight home runs and 18 walks.
• Miguel Rojas is hitting .213 with four doubles, a triple, four home runs and 13 walks.

Betting Tips for Phillies vs. Marlins

After looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +138. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.