Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/14/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to pick up their 32nd win of the season when they take on the Miami Marlins (27-32) Tuesday. The game begins at 7:05 PM ET, with the Phillies listed as -152 favorites on the moneyline. Philadelphia’s Zach Eflin and Miami’s Trevor Rogers have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Marlins

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+130) and Over (8.5)

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Zach Eflin
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers
• Game Day: Tuesday, June 14, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Zach Eflin

• Eflin (2-4) takes the mound for the Phillies in his 11th start of the season. He has a 4.09 ERA in 55 innings pitched, with 47 strikeouts.
• His most recent time out came on Thursday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when the right-hander tossed 4 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing four hits.
• In 10 games this season, the 28-year-old has put up a 4.09 ERA and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .252 to his opponents.
• Eflin has four quality starts under his belt this season.
• Eflin has pitched five or more innings in a game six times this year heading into this matchup.
• He will match up with a Marlins offense that ranks 22nd in MLB with 480 total hits (on a .241 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .393 (14th in MLB) with 64 total home runs (14th in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Marlins this season, Eflin has thrown four innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits while striking out four.

Marlins Starter Trevor Rogers

• Rogers (3-5) will take the mound for the Marlins, his 12th start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
• The 24-year-old has pitched to a 5.58 ERA this season with 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4 walks per nine across 11 games.
• He has started 11 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in one of them.
• Rogers has made seven starts of five or more innings in 11 chances this season, and averages 4.2 frames when he pitches.
• The Phillies are batting .251 this season, eighth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .423 (fourth in the league) with 78 home runs.
• The left-hander has faced the Phillies one time this season, allowing them to go 4-for-8 with three doubles and seven RBI in 1 2/3 innings.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 37 times this season and won 21, or 56.8%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has a record of 8-4 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -152 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 60.3% chance to win.
• Games involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 35 of 61 chances this season.
• In 61 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 32-29-0 ATS.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been underdogs in 32 games this season and have come away with the win 11 times (34.4%) in those contests.
• This year, Miami has won three of 11 games when listed as at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 43.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with Miami have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 30 of 59 chances this season.
• The Marlins are 31-28-0 against the spread in their 59 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bryce Harper is the Phillies best hitter, putting together an average of .318 while also being the team’s top run producer, collecting 46 RBI and crushing 15 long balls.
• Among all MLB batters, Harper is ninth in batting average, 17th in on-base percentage, and fourth in slugging.
• Kyle Schwarber has shown off his power as he paces his team with 16 home runs.
• Schwarber ranks fifth in homers and 31st in RBI in the majors.
• Rhys Hoskins has 10 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 28 walks while hitting .237.
• Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .254 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 18 walks.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jazz Chisholm leads the Marlins in home runs (12) and runs batted in (40).
• Chisholm’s home run total puts him 21st in the big leagues, and he ranks 14th in RBI.
• Jorge Soler’s 12 home runs lead his team.
• Soler ranks 21st among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 66th in RBI.
• Garrett Cooper leads the Marlins with a team-best batting average of .314.
• Jesus Aguilar is hitting .243 with 10 doubles, eight home runs and 18 walks.

Betting Tips for Phillies vs. Marlins

We have the Marlins on the moneyline at +130 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.