Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/16/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to pick up their 48th win of the season when they take on the Miami Marlins (43-46) Saturday. The game begins at 4:10 PM ET, with the Phillies listed as -116 favorites on the moneyline. Philadelphia’s Ranger Suarez gets the start, and he’ll go against Miami’s Max Meyer.

Phillies vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Marlins

After looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at -103. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (-103) and Over (7.5)

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Max Meyer
• Game Day: Saturday, July 16, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Ranger Suárez

• Suarez starts for the first time this season for the Phillies.
• The 26-year-old lefty makes his season debut and pitches for the first time in more than a year.
• The Marlins have MLB’s 24th-ranked scoring offense (371 total runs) and have put up a .237 batting average as a team while hitting 90 home runs (18th in the league) this season.

Marlins Starter Max Meyer

• The Marlins will send out Meyer for his first start of the season.
• The right-hander will make his MLB debut at the age of 23.
• The Phillies rank 10th in MLB with 417 runs scored this season. They have a .244 batting average this campaign with 115 home runs (seventh in the league).

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 55 games this season and won 31 (56.4%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia is 28-23 this season when entering a game favored by -116 or more on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have a 53.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 46 of their 90 games with a total.
• The Phillies are 48-42-0 against the spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have won in 18, or 36.7%, of the 49 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Miami has a mark of 14-29 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -103 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 50.7% chance of pulling out a win.
• Miami and their opponents have gone over in 42 of their 89 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Marlins are 43-46-0 against the spread in their 89 games that had a posted line this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber paces the Phillies with 28 home runs and 57 runs batted in.
• Schwarber ranks second in home runs and 15th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Rhys Hoskins is hitting .246 with 17 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 45 walks.
• Of all major league batters, Hoskins ranks 19th in home runs and 61st in RBI.
• J.T. Realmuto is hitting .247 with 12 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 24 walks.
• Realmuto is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .353 with a double, a walk and two RBI.
• Nicholas Castellanos is batting .251 with 19 doubles, eight home runs and 21 walks.
• Castellanos brings a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with a double and two RBI.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Garrett Cooper leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .291.
• Cooper’s home run total places him 148th in the big leagues, and he is 74th in RBI.
• Jesus Aguilar is hitting .245 with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 20 walks.
• Aguilar is 72nd among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 95th in RBI.
• Miguel Rojas is hitting .239 with 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 16 walks.
• Jorge Soler is hitting .214 with 13 doubles, 13 home runs and 31 walks.