Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/10/2022

The Philadelphia Phillies (61-48) will put their six-game win streak to the test when they host the Miami Marlins (49-60) Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET. Bookmakers consider the Phillies -130 favorites to extend their streak, while the Marlins are +109 underdogs looking for the upset. Noah Syndergaard starts for Philadelphia while Sandy Alcantara is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Phillies vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Marlins

We have the Marlins on the moneyline at +109 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+109) and Over (7.5)

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Sandy Alcantara
• Game Day: Wednesday, August 10, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Noah Syndergaard

• Syndergaard gets the start for the Phillies, his 17th of the season. He is 6-8 with a 4.02 ERA and 66 strikeouts through 85 innings pitched.
• In his last time out on Thursday, the right-hander tossed five innings against the Washington Nationals, allowing four earned runs while surrendering 11 hits.
• The 29-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.02, with 7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 16 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .258 batting average against him.
• Syndergaard has registered five quality starts this year.
• Syndergaard is looking for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 frames per appearance on the mound.
• The opposing Marlins offense has a collective .235 batting average, and is 24th in the league with 858 total hits and 27th in MLB play with 416 runs scored. It has the 27th-ranked slugging percentage (.371) and ranks 22nd in home runs (101) in all of MLB.
• In five innings over one appearance against the Marlins this season, Syndergaard has a 3.60 ERA and a 1.000 WHIP while his opponents are batting .250.

Marlins Starter Sandy Alcantara

• Alcantara (10-4) will take to the mound for the Marlins and make his 23rd start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he allowed six hits in nine scoreless innings against the Cincinnati Reds.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in 22 games this season with an ERA of 1.88 and 8 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .195.
• He has earned a quality start 17 times in 22 starts this season.
• Alcantara has pitched five or more innings in 16 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Phillies rank 10th in MLB with a .250 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks fifth in the league (.426) and 148 home runs.
• This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Phillies in three games, and they have gone 17-for-78 with six doubles and six RBI over 22 innings.
• Among qualified pitchers this campaign, the 26-year-old’s 1.88 ERA ranks second, .935 WHIP ranks fifth, and 8 K/9 ranks 36th.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 41 out of the 68 games, or 60.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Philadelphia has a record of 29-21 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -130 on the moneyline.
• The Phillies have a 56.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Games involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 56 of 109 chances this season.
• The Phillies are 59-50-0 against the spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 59 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (33.9%) in those games.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 11-30 when favored by +109 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Miami’s games have gone over the total in 50 of their 109 opportunities.
• In 109 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 48-61-0 against the spread.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber has racked up a team-best 34 home runs and 67 runs batted in.
• Schwarber ranks second in home runs and 17th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Schwarber has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .316 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Rhys Hoskins is batting .253 with 21 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 52 walks.
• Hoskins is 13th in homers and 48th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Hoskins has five games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with a double, four home runs, three walks and six RBI.
• J.T. Realmuto has 16 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 30 walks while batting .268.
• Realmuto will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .368 with a double, two triples, three home runs and eight RBI.
• Alec Bohm has a club-leading .294 batting average.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jesus Aguilar is batting .241 with 17 doubles, 13 home runs and 23 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .287.
• In all of the big leagues, Aguilar ranks 76th in home runs and 92nd in RBI.
• Aguilar takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and an RBI.
• Miguel Rojas is batting .233 with 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 20 walks.
• Rojas is 204th in homers and 205th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Garrett Cooper paces the Marlins with a team-high batting average of .275.
• Joey Wendle is hitting .257 with 13 doubles, two home runs and 11 walks.