Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/14/2022

The Miami Marlins (58-84) are +111 underdogs for their meeting with the Philadelphia Phillies (79-62) on Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET. Miguel Rojas has 99 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at loanDepot park. Kyle Gibson will get the ball for Philadelphia while Miami counter with Edward Cabrera.

Phillies vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Marlins

Our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +111 after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+111) and Over (7.5)

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera
• Game Day: Wednesday, September 14, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Kyle Gibson

• Gibson (9-6 with a 4.57 ERA and 118 strikeouts in 145 2/3 innings pitched) goes for his 10th victory when he gets the start for the Phillies, his 28th of the season.
• His most recent appearance was on Thursday against the Miami Marlins, when the right-hander went five innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up nine hits.
• In 27 games this season, the 34-year-old has an ERA of 4.57, with 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .255 against him.
• Gibson has collected 14 quality starts this season.
• Gibson is looking to secure his 19th start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
• The opposing Marlins offense has the 28th-ranked slugging percentage (.361) and ranks 24th in MLB play with 124 home runs. It has a collective .228 batting average, and is 26th in MLB with 1079 total hits and 27th in MLB action scoring 507 runs.
• Gibson has a 3.64 ERA and a 1.281 WHIP against the Marlins this season in 29 2/3 innings pitched, allowing a .270 batting average over five appearances.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 34-year-old ranks 42nd in ERA (4.57), 38th in WHIP (1.277), and 36th in K/9 (7.3).

Marlins Starter Edward Cabrera

• Cabrera (5-2) will take the mound for the Marlins, his 11th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed five hits in 5 2/3 innings against the New York Mets.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 2.63 and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .168 in 10 games this season.
• He has started 10 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in three of them.
• Cabrera has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Phillies rank eighth in MLB with a .255 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks fifth in the league (.425) and 179 home runs.
• The right-hander has faced the Phillies one time this season, allowing them to go 3-for-19 in 5 2/3 innings.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 93 times this season and won 56, or 60.2%, of those games.
• Philadelphia has entered 67 games this season favored by -132 or more and is 42-25 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 56.9%.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 72 of their 141 games with a total this season.
• The Phillies have an ATS record of 73-68-0 in 141 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have come away with 27 wins in the 87 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, Miami has won 17 of 65 games when listed as at least +111 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with Miami have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 63 of 142 chances this season.
• The Marlins have posted a record of 65-77-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rhys Hoskins has 27 doubles, two triples, 28 home runs and 66 walks while batting .250.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Hoskins is 15th in home runs and 40th in RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has shown off his power as he leads his team with 37 home runs and 79 runs batted in.
• Schwarber ranks second in homers and 25th in RBI on the year.
• J.T. Realmuto is hitting .271 with 23 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 39 walks.
• Alec Bohm is hitting .291 to lead his team.
• Bohm has recorded at least one hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with two doubles, a triple, a home run and four RBI.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rojas paces the Marlins with a .235 batting average.
• Rojas’ home run total places him 246th in MLB, and he is 231st in RBI.
• Rojas has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with .
• Garrett Cooper has put up 48 runs batted in to pace his team.
• Cooper is 199th among all batters in the majors in homers, and 134th in RBI.
• Jon Berti has 15 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 35 walks while hitting .254.
• Joey Wendle has 23 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 14 walks while hitting .260.