Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/6/2022

One team will end a losing skid when the 73-61 Philadelphia Phillies (three-game losing streak) and the 55-78 Miami Marlins (seven-game losing streak) meet Tuesday at 6:45 PM ET. The Phillies have been set as -210 favorites by sportsbooks for the contest at Citizens Bank Park. Aaron Nola gets the starting nod for Philadelphia while Jesus Luzardo is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Phillies vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Marlins

We have the Marlins on the moneyline at +180 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 6.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+180) and Over (6.5)

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Jesús Luzardo
• Game Day: Tuesday, September 6, 2022
• Game Time: 6:45 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Aaron Nola

• Nola (9-11 with a 3.43 ERA and 190 strikeouts in 170 2/3 innings pitched) looks for his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Phillies, his 27th of the season.
• In his last time out on Wednesday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, the right-hander tossed four innings, allowing eight earned runs while surrendering 10 hits.
• The 29-year-old has a 3.43 ERA and 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings in 26 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .225 to opposing hitters.
• Nola is trying to secure his 16th quality start of the season in this game.
• Nola will look to collect his 25th matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 6.2 innings per appearance.
• He will face a Marlins squad that is hitting .227 as a unit (27th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .360 (27th in MLB) with 116 total home runs (26th in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Marlins this season, Nola has pitched 15 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on 10 hits while striking out 16.
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 29-year-old ranks 31st in ERA (3.43), seventh in WHIP (.973), and 10th in K/9 (10.0).

Marlins Starter Jesús Luzardo

• The Marlins’ Luzardo (3-6) will make his 13th start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up three earned runs in six innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 3.44, a 2.92 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.026 in 12 games this season.
• He’s looking to extend his three-game quality start streak.
• Luzardo will look to pitch five or more innings for the seventh start in a row.
• The Phillies have scored 629 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB. They have 1157 hits, ninth in baseball, with 166 home runs (seventh in the league).

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have been favorites in 87 games this season and won 51 (58.6%) of those contests.
• Philadelphia has entered 15 games this season favored by -210 or more and is 12-3 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 67.7% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
• Games involving Philadelphia have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 69 of 134 chances this season.
• The Phillies are 69-65-0 against the spread in their 134 chances this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 80 games this year and have walked away with the win 24 times (30%) in those games.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 1-8 when favored by +180 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 35.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Miami and their opponents have gone over in 58 of their 133 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Marlins have an against the spread mark of 60-73-0 in 133 games with a line this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rhys Hoskins is batting .250 with 26 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 64 walks.
• Including all MLB batters, Hoskins ranks 82nd in batting average, 51st in on-base percentage, and 33rd in slugging.
• Hoskins carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .273 with three doubles, two walks and an RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit 36 home runs with 78 RBI. Both lead his team.
• Schwarber is second in home runs and 21st in RBI on the season.
• Schwarber carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .238 with a double, a triple, two walks and an RBI.
• J.T. Realmuto has 23 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 36 walks while batting .269.
• Realmuto will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a double, a home run, three walks and six RBI.
• Alec Bohm is batting .293 to lead his team.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Miguel Rojas leads the team in batting average with a mark of .229.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Rojas ranks 234th in homers and 226th in RBI.
• Jon Berti is hitting .259 with 14 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 34 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Berti is 318th in homers and 294th in RBI.
• Garrett Cooper is batting .250 with 24 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 35 walks.
• Joey Wendle is hitting .254 with 19 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 14 walks.