Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/7/2022

Entering Wednesday’s matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies (74-61), the Miami Marlins (55-79) are on an eight-game losing streak. The contest starts at 6:45 PM ET with the Phillies listed as -184 favorites, while the are +155 underdogs who may be heading for a ninth straight defeat. Philadelphia’s Bailey Falter and Miami’s Trevor Rogers have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Marlins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Phillies vs. Marlins

After looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Marlins on the moneyline at +155. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Miami Marlins (+155) and Over (7.5)

Phillies vs. Marlins Game Info

• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Bailey Falter
• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers
• Game Day: Wednesday, September 7, 2022
• Game Time: 6:45 PM ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Stadium: Citizens Bank Park

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup

Phillies Starter Bailey Falter

• Falter (3-3) takes the mound for the Phillies in his 11th start of the season. He has a 4.08 ERA in 57 1/3 innings pitched, with 52 strikeouts.
• In his most recent appearance on Thursday, the lefty tossed 6 1/3 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, allowing one earned run while surrendering five hits.
• In 14 games this season, the 25-year-old has amassed a 4.08 ERA and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .253 to his opponents.
• Falter is seeking his fifth straight quality start.
• Falter will try to extend a six-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.0 frames per appearance).
• He will face off against a Marlins offense that ranks 28th in MLB with 1013 total hits (on a .227 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .359 (28th in MLB) with 116 total home runs (26th in MLB).
• Falter has a 4.50 ERA and a 1.500 WHIP against the Marlins this season in two innings pitched, allowing a .250 batting average over one appearance.

Marlins Starter Trevor Rogers

• The Marlins will hand the ball to Rogers (4-10) for his 21st start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in six innings pitched against the Tampa Bay Rays on Wednesday.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 5.57 and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .280 in 20 games this season.
• In 20 starts this season, he’s earned two quality starts.
• Rogers has 12 starts of five or more innings this season in 20 chances. He averages 4.2 innings per outing.
• The Phillies have scored 632 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB. They have 1163 hits, ninth in baseball, with 167 home runs (seventh in the league).
• The left-hander has allowed the Phillies to go 16-for-47 with six doubles, two home runs and 15 RBI in 11 1/3 innings this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Phillies have won 52 out of the 88 games, or 59.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Philadelphia is 22-5 this season when entering a game favored by -184 or more on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 64.8% chance to win.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 69 of their 135 games with a total this season.
• The Phillies have an ATS record of 69-66-0 in 135 games with a spread this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been underdogs in 81 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (29.6%) in those contests.
• This year, Miami has won two of 15 games when listed as at least +155 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 39.2% chance of pulling out a win.
• Contests with Miami have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 58 of 134 chances this season.
• The Marlins have posted a record of 61-73-0 against the spread this season.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rhys Hoskins is hitting .248 with 26 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 65 walks.
• In all of MLB, Hoskins is 19th in homers and 43rd in RBI.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit 36 home runs with 78 RBI. Both are team-highs.
• Schwarber ranks second in homers in the majors, and 21st in RBI.
• Schwarber heads into this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with a double, a triple, two walks and an RBI.
• J.T. Realmuto has 23 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 38 walks while batting .271.
• Realmuto will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with a double, a home run, four walks and four RBI.
• Alec Bohm is hitting .291 to pace his team.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Miguel Rojas leads the team in batting average with a mark of .231.
• Rojas’ home run total places him 236th in the majors, and he ranks 228th in RBI.
• Rojas carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .214 with .
• Jon Berti is hitting .259 with 14 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 34 walks.
• Berti is currently 319th in home runs and 294th in RBI in the big leagues.
• Garrett Cooper is hitting .251 with 24 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 36 walks.
• Joey Wendle has 20 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 14 walks while hitting .255.